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Research Note: Re-Examining the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis for Turkey

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  • Jamal Husein
  • S. Murat Kara

Abstract

Since the 1980s, Turkey has given priority to the advancement and expansion of its tourism industry as part of achieving economic growth and development. This study empirically re-examines the possible causal relationships among tourism receipts, real exchange rate and economic growth by using annual data (1964–2006). Johansen multivariate cointegration analysis reveals the existence of a ‘stable’ and significant long-run equilibrium relationship among real GDP, tourism receipts and real exchange rate (RER). Granger causality tests based on the error correction model indicate a unidirectional causality from tourism receipts and RER to real GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamal Husein & S. Murat Kara, 2011. "Research Note: Re-Examining the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis for Turkey," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(4), pages 917-924, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:17:y:2011:i:4:p:917-924
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2011.0069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lokman Gunduz & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2005. "Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 499-504.
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    1. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan Sebastián & Such, María Jesús & Pulina, Manuela, 2011. "Causalidad entre turismo y crecimiento económico de largo plazo: una revisión crítica de la literatura econométrica [Causality between tourism and long-term economic growth: a critical review of th," MPRA Paper 37332, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    2. José Alberto Fuinhas & Matheus Belucio & Daniela Castilho & Joana Mateus & Rafaela Caetano, 2020. "Tourism and Economic Growth Nexus in Latin America and Caribbean Countries: Evidence from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Panel," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 13(1), pages 21-34.
    3. Alper Aslan, 2015. "The sustainability of tourism income on economic growth: does education matter?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(5), pages 2097-2106, September.
    4. José Alberto Fuinhas & Matheus Belucio & Daniela Castilho & Joana Mateus & Rafaela Caetano, 2020. "Tourism and Economic Growth Nexus in Latin America and Caribbean Countries: Evidence from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Panel," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 13(1), pages 21-34.
    5. Chien-Ming Wang & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2022. "Does tourism promote or reduce environmental pollution? Evidence from major tourist arrival countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3334-3355, March.
    6. Chien-Ming Wang & Su-Lan Pan & Alastair M. Morrison & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2022. "The dynamic linkages among outbound tourism, economic growth, and international trade: empirical evidence from China," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Naqib Ullah Khan & Wajid Alim & Abida Begum & Heesup Han & Abdullah Mohamed, 2022. "Examining Factors That Influence the International Tourism in Pakistan and Its Nexus with Economic Growth: Evidence from ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    8. Nino Fonseca & Marcelino Sánchez-Rivero, 2020. "Significance bias in the tourism-led growth literature," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 137-154, February.
    9. Bart Neuts, 2020. "Tourism and urban economic growth: A panel analysis of German cities," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 519-527, May.
    10. Jun Zhang & Li Cheng, 2019. "Threshold Effect of Tourism Development on Economic Growth Following a Disaster Shock: Evidence from the Wenchuan Earthquake, P.R. China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    11. Eda FENDOGLU & Esra CANPOLAT GOKCE, 2019. "Türkiye’nin Turizm Geliri Serisinin Durağanlığı: Fourier KPSS Durağanlık Test," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 31(0), pages 17-28, December.
    12. Herman Sahni & Christian Nsiah & Bichaka Fayissa, 2021. "The African economic growth experience and tourism receipts: A threshold analysis and quantile regression approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 915-932, August.
    13. Gulsum Akarsu, 2023. "Interrelationships between Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence for Turkiye," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 49-76, June.
    14. Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Naila Erum & Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "How does institutional quality moderates the impact of tourism on economic growth? Startling evidence from high earners and tourism-dependent economies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1311-1332, August.

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