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Impacts of Climate Change on Domestic Tourism in the UK: A Panel Data Estimation

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  • Tim Taylor

    (Department of Economics, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

  • Ramon Arigoni Ortiz

    (Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Bilbao, Spain)

Abstract

Climate change is likely to have a significant impact on a number of key economic sectors, including tourism. The authors employ panel data techniques on regional tourist and climatic data in the UK to estimate the influence of temperature, precipitation and sunny conditions on domestic tourism. Significant impacts are found, including lagged relationships. The model is then used to estimate the impact of the hot weather of summer 2003 on domestic tourism in the UK, finding a positive impact on revenues ranging between £14.79 million and £30.32 million.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Taylor & Ramon Arigoni Ortiz, 2009. "Impacts of Climate Change on Domestic Tourism in the UK: A Panel Data Estimation," Tourism Economics, , vol. 15(4), pages 803-812, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:15:y:2009:i:4:p:803-812
    DOI: 10.5367/000000009789955161
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    1. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Chiang-Ming Chen & Yu-Chen Lin & Eldon Y. Li & Chia-Chang Liu, 2017. "Weather uncertainty effect on tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(2), pages 469-474, March.
    3. Tzu-Ming Liu, 2014. "Analysis of the Economic Impact of Meteorological Disasters on Tourism: The Case of Typhoon Morakot's Impact on the Maolin National Scenic Area in Taiwan," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 143-156, February.
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    8. Otero-Giráldez, María Soledad & Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & González-Gómez, Manuel, 2012. "Estimating the long-run effects of socioeconomic and meteorological factors on the domestic tourism demand for Galicia (Spain)," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1301-1308.
    9. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano, 2014. "Promoting the international demand for agritourism – empirical evidence from a dynamic panel data model," MPRA Paper 59625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2014.
    10. Liu, Yuan-Yuan & Tseng, Fang-Mei & Tseng, Yi-Heng, 2018. "Big Data analytics for forecasting tourism destination arrivals with the applied Vector Autoregression model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 123-134.
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    14. Albert Ayorinde Abegunde, 2017. "Local communities’ belief in climate change in a rural region of Sub-Saharan Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1489-1522, August.
    15. Robert Steiger & Eva Posch & Gottfried Tappeiner & Janette Walde, 2020. "Effects of climate change on tourism demand considering individual seasonal preferences," Working Papers 2020-08, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
    16. Gangwei Cai & Lei Xu & Weijun Gao & Yan Hong & Xiaoyu Ying & Yan Wang & Fanyue Qian, 2020. "The Positive Impacts of Exhibition-Driven Tourism on Sustainable Tourism, Economics, and Population: The Case of the Echigo–Tsumari Art Triennale in Japan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, February.
    17. Teresa Guardia Gálvez & Juan Muro Romero & María Jesús Such Devesa, 2014. "Measuring and Analysing Domestic Tourism: The Importance of an Origin and Destination Matrix," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(3), pages 451-472, June.
    18. Martin Falk, 2014. "Weather and Tourism Demand in the Summer Months across Austrian provinces," ERSA conference papers ersa14p1149, European Regional Science Association.
    19. Fabio Gaetano Santeramo, 2015. "Research Note: Promoting the International Demand for Agritourism: Empirical Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Data Model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(4), pages 907-916, August.
    20. Yang, Yang & Liu, Ze-Hua & Qi, Qiuyin, 2014. "Domestic tourism demand of urban and rural residents in China: Does relative income matter?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 193-202.
    21. Devi Brands & Joris Klingen & Francis Ostermeijer, 2020. "Hands on the Wheel, Eyes on the Phone: the Effect of Smart Phone Usage on Road Safety," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-024/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.

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