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Migration in an Interregional Macroeconometric Model of the United States: Will Net Outmigration from the Northeast Continue?

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  • William J. Milne

    (Institute for Policy Analysis,, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5S IAI)

Abstract

This paper reports on the specification, estimation and simulation of an interregional net migration model of the United States. The model makes use of time series data including, as explanatory variables, wage rates, unemployment rates, and population density. Simulation experiments are undertaken by joining the migration model with a multiregional macroeconometric model to examine the effect of migration patterns of changes in national economic growth. In particular, the net outmigration trends in the Northeast are examined under alternate scenarios including faster national economic growth and a different energy pricing policy.

Suggested Citation

  • William J. Milne, 1981. "Migration in an Interregional Macroeconometric Model of the United States: Will Net Outmigration from the Northeast Continue?," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 6(1), pages 71-83, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:6:y:1981:i:1:p:71-83
    DOI: 10.1177/016001768100600105
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1970. "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Harry W. Richardson (ed.), Regional Economics, chapter 9, pages 115-133, Palgrave Macmillan.
    2. BARTEN, Anton P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," LIDAM Reprints CORE 34, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Barten, A. P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 7-73.
    4. Hart, R A & MacKay, D I, 1977. "Wage Inflation, Regional Policy and the Regional Earnings Structure," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 44(175), pages 267-281, August.
    5. Brechling, Frank, 1973. "Wage Inflation and the Structure of Regional Unemployment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 355-379, Part II F.
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    Cited by:

    1. M.S. Deepak & Carol Taylor West & Thomas H. Spreen, 2001. "Local Government Portfolios and Regional Growth: Some Combined Dynamic CGE/Optimal Control Results," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 219-254, May.

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