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The Importance of the First round in the Multiplier Process: The Impact of Civil Service Dispersal

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  • B Ashcroft
  • J K Swales

Abstract

In this paper an extended Keynesian regional multiplier model is developed and used to estimate the local impact of two proposed (but subsequently cancelled) moves in the UK programme of Government office dispersal. These moves were to have been the relocation of the Property Services Agency to Cleveland and part of the Ministry of Defence to the county of South Glamorgan. The multiplier formulation explicitly takes into account an important feature of Government office dispersal; that is, that a large proportion of the employees move with the job. The importance of the first round in the multiplier process is stressed, and quantitative estimates of the effects of varying the nature of the initial injection are given.

Suggested Citation

  • B Ashcroft & J K Swales, 1982. "The Importance of the First round in the Multiplier Process: The Impact of Civil Service Dispersal," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(4), pages 429-444, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:14:y:1982:i:4:p:429-444
    DOI: 10.1068/a140429
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brownrigg, Mark, 1971. "The Regional Income Multiplier: An Attempt to Complete the Model," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 281-297, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. J.A. Lewis, 1988. "Assessing the Effect of the Polytechnic, Wolverhampton on the Local Community," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 25(1), pages 53-61, February.
    2. Utis Kaothien, 1991. "Regional and Urbanisation Policy in Thailand: The Tertiary Sector as a Leading Sector in Regional Development," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 28(6), pages 1027-1043, December.
    3. Faggio, Giulia, 2019. "Relocation of public sector workers: Evaluating a place-based policy," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 53-75.
    4. Psaltopoulos, Demetrios & Skuras, Dimitris & Thomson, Kenneth J., 2011. "Employment effects of private investment initiatives in rural areas of southern Europe: A regional SAM approach," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 12(2).
    5. Dr Ronald W. McQuaid, 1997. "The Location of Civil Service Jobs in Scotland in relation to the Local Economic Impact of the Scottish Parliament," Working Paper p26, Departement of Economics, Napier University.
    6. Faggio, Giulia, 2019. "Relocation of public sector workers: Evaluating a place-based policy," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 53-75.
    7. repec:ehl:lserod:50482 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. J. N. Marshall & D. Bradley & C. Hodgson & N. Alderman & R. Richardson, 2005. "Relocation, relocation, relocation: Assessing the case for public sector dispersal," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(6), pages 767-787.
    9. Faggio, Giulia & Overman, Henry, 2014. "The effect of public sector employment on local labour markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 91-107.
    10. A.G.M. Nairn & J.K. Swales, 1987. "Area Policy Impacts: A Multiplier Analysis of GEAR," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 31-45, February.

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