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The Interplay Between Sentiment and MAX: Evidence from an Emerging Market

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  • Nilesh Gupta
  • Joshy Jacob

Abstract

Investors with lottery preferences are known to concentrate on stocks with rare but extreme past returns. We investigate the extent to which lottery preference, measured by the MAX variable, varies with the market-wide irrational sentiment. We find that the high-MAX stocks have higher overpricing in a high-sentiment market and earn a lower alpha, compared to the low-sentiment market. Accordingly, the poor returns earned by a long-short portfolio of stocks with extreme MAX values are primarily due to the overvaluation of the high MAX-portfolio during the high sentiment phase. The higher stock volatility in India also magnifies the lottery preference of investors. JEL Classification: G4, G12, G41, G11

Suggested Citation

  • Nilesh Gupta & Joshy Jacob, 2021. "The Interplay Between Sentiment and MAX: Evidence from an Emerging Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 20(2), pages 192-217, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:emffin:v:20:y:2021:i:2:p:192-217
    DOI: 10.1177/0972652720969511
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Behavioral finance; asset pricing; sentiment; emerging market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G4 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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