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Regulationist Macro-Models for Developing Countries. An Application to the Argentine New Development Pattern

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  • Tupac Panigo, Demian
  • Chena, Pablo Ignacio

Abstract

In this paper we present a regulationst structural macroeconometric model (RSMM) to develop economic forecasts and examine different policy outcomes in Argentina. RSMM main characteristics involve cumulative causation dynamics where income distribution, macroeconomic volatility, credit rationing and productive heterogeneity conjugates to obtain a new instrument to precisely examine key macroeconomic and social variables. Available empirical results indicates: 1) the existence of dynamic increasing returns to scale; 2) the relevance of income distribution for investment, tax collection and public expenditures; 3) the significant influence of macroeconomic volatility on employment generation; 4) the strong effect of investment (positive) on imports and domestic consumption (negative) on exports; and 5) that price dynamics depends on wages and demand factors but also (and predominantly) on external variables and income policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Tupac Panigo, Demian & Chena, Pablo Ignacio, 2012. "Regulationist Macro-Models for Developing Countries. An Application to the Argentine New Development Pattern," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 11.
    • Handle: RePEc:rvr:journl:2012:9705
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Boyer, Robert, 2012. "Diversité et évolution des capitalismes en Amérique latine. De la régulation économique au politique," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 11.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Argentine; modèle macroéconomique structurel; nouveau mode du développement; théorie de la régulation; Argentina; macroeconometric structural model; new development pattern; regulation theory; Argentina; modelo macroeconométrico estructural; nuevo modelo de desarrollo; teoría de la regulación;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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