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Why do not They Move from Rural to Urban Areas? Inter-Regional Migration in Romania

Author

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  • Silaghi, Monica Ioana

    (Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania)

  • Ghatak, Subrata

    (Kingston University, London, UK)

Abstract

This paper examines the role of wages and unemployment rates as major potential economic causes of internal migration between the separate regions of Romania in the period 1995-2005. The different inter-regional migration routes are treated as cross-section units in a panel data structure, with unobserved characteristics for each route modelled as fixed effects. The cross-section SUR (seemingly unrelated regressions) estimation indicates that wage in origin regions had a significant influence on internal migration flows, but unemployment rates in origin and destination regions have apparently played no part. When time is accounted for, results show that wages in destination regions become very significant and migration is explained by pull rather than push effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Silaghi, Monica Ioana & Ghatak, Subrata, 2011. "Why do not They Move from Rural to Urban Areas? Inter-Regional Migration in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 143-158, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2011:i:1:p:143-158
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ionel MUNTELE & Raluca-Ioana HOREA-ȘERBAN, 2021. "From Internal to International Migration in Romania – Continuity and Spatial Differentiation," Eastern European Journal for Regional Studies (EEJRS), Center for Studies in European Integration (CSEI), Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova (ASEM), vol. 7(2), pages 5-26, December.
    2. Martin JANOTKA & Vladimir GAZDA, 2012. "Modelling Of Interregional Migration In Slovakia," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 7(1(19)/ Sp), pages 48-55.
    3. E. S. Vakulenko, 2016. "Econometric analysis of factors of internal migration in Russia," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 344-356, October.
    4. Yuriy Shmidt & Natalya Ivashina & Pavel Lobodin & Aleksey Kuhlevskiy, 2017. "Forecasting of Interregional Migration Flows," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 126-136.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional migration; Harris-Todaro model; transition economies; Romania; SUR estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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