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The Diffusion of New Technologies: Evidence from the Electric Utility Industry

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Author Info
Nancy L. Rose
Paul L. Joskow

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Abstract

This article investigates the effect of firm size and ownership structure on technology adoption decisions using data on the electric utility industry. We argue that traditional models of technology diffusion may be subject to sample selectivity biases that overstate the effect of firm size on adoption probabilities. By extending conventional hazard rate models to use information on both adoption and nonadoption decisions, we differentiate between firms' opportunities for adoption and their underlying adoption propensities. The results suggest that large firms and investor-owned electric utilities are likely to adopt new technologies earlier than are their smaller and publicly owned counterparts. Moreover, the selection biases from conventional statistical models may overstate size effects and understate ownership and factor cost effects by as much as a factor of two.

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File URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0741-6261%28199023%2921%3A3%3C354%3ATDONTE%3E2.0.CO%3B2-K&origin=repec
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Publisher Info
Article provided by The RAND Corporation in its journal RAND Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 21 (1990)
Issue (Month): 3 (Autumn)
Pages: 354-373
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Handle: RePEc:rje:randje:v:21:y:1990:i:autumn:p:354-373

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. V. Kerry Smith, 1974. "The Implications of Regulation for Induced Technical Change," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 5(2), pages 623-632, Autumn. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Benvignati, Anita M, 1982. "Interfirm Adoption of Capital-Goods Innovations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(2), pages 330-35, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Paul Sommers, 1980. "The Adoption of Nuclear Power Generation," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 11(1), pages 283-291, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Sharon Oster, 1982. "The Diffusion of Innovation among Steel Firms: The Basic Oxygen Furnace," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 13(1), pages 45-56, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Nickell, Stephen J, 1979. "Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1249-66, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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