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Testing Weak Form Of Stock Market Efficiency At The Macedonian Stock Exchange

Author

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  • Angelovska, Julijana

    (University of Tourism and Management in Skopje, Macedonia.)

Abstract

The efficient market research to date has focused mostly on the developed stock markets. To be efficient the market needs to be large and liquid, transaction costs should be cheaper than the expected investment strategy profits and Macedonian capital market as a developing market is characterized by low liquidity, shallow trading, large price fluctuations, uninformed investors with access to unreliable information and significant instability. According to these characteristics the aim of this study is to investigate emerging, Macedonian Stock Exchange (MBI10) and test the weak form of efficiency. Tests are performed for daily returns on sample spanning from January 4th 2005 to April 2nd 2018. The application of Random Walk Model and GARCH (1,1) model provides evidence that Macedonian Stock Market is not weak form efficient. The evidence of stock market inefficiency has implications. Negative implication of such inefficiency can be found in disturbing the allocation of national resources for development projects. Of course, there is positive implication as well that provides incentives for new financial products. Creation of new innovative financial products can produce material that will move the stock market towards efficiency in the long run

Suggested Citation

  • Angelovska, Julijana, 2018. "Testing Weak Form Of Stock Market Efficiency At The Macedonian Stock Exchange," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 9(2), pages 133-144.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:utmsje:0244
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Saliha Theiri & Abdessatar Ati, 2020. "Weak Form of Efficiency Hypotheses: Empirical Modeling With Box ¨CPierce, ADF and ARCH Tests," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 137-149, October.
    2. Michael Anthony Adams, 2020. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Market Efficiency in the USA: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 9(2), pages 73-81.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    random walk model; GARCH (1; 1); stock returns; investor rationality; capital market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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