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Hodrick–Prescott, Goodwin y ciclos económicos en Bolivia

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Author Info

  • Villegas, Horacio

    ()
    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Rubín de Celis, Raúl

    ()
    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Aliaga, Javier

    ()
    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

Abstract

Los ciclos económicos no tienen un comportamiento idéntico en el corto y largo plazo, mostrando que no existe equilibrio ni de corto ni largo plazo. La causa principal de la inestabilidad es la incidencia de las fuerzas exógenas en la economía doméstica. Un posible aumento de estas fuerzas exógenas hace que los ciclos del producto sean cada vez más inestables. La interacción del acelerador con la propensión marginal a ahorrar y el tiempo que se dedica a la producción de nuevos bienes de capital y consumo, pueden minimizar el efecto de las fuerzas exógenas. La interacción anteriormente mencionada se la puede aproximar como el ambiente de la inversión; cuanto más alta ésta sea, mayor será la posibilidad de reducir posibles choques externos.

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File URL: http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo/journal/articulos/1602.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana in its journal Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico.

Volume (Year): (2011)
Issue (Month): 16 (Noviembre)
Pages: 29-38

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Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1602

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Universidad católica Boliviana San Pablo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas, Av. 14 de septiembre 4807. Obrajes, La Paz, Bolivia
Phone: (591-2) 784159
Fax: (591-2) 786707
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Web page: http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo
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Related research

Keywords: Ciclos económicos; equilibrio; estabilidad; corto plazo; largo plazo; acelerador; no linealidad; inestabilidad; caos;

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References

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  1. Agustín Maravall & Ana del Río, 2001. "Time Aggregation and the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0108, Banco de Espa�a.
  2. Robert J. Hodrick & Edward Prescott, 1981. "Post-War U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Discussion Papers 451, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
  3. Agustín Maravall & Ana del Río, 2001. "Time Aggregation and the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0108, Banco de Espa�a.
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