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An Econometric Macroeconomic Model for Analysis and Forecasting of Key Indicators of the Belarusian Economy

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Author Info

  • Kravtsov, Mikhail
  • Burdyka, Mikalai
  • Haspadarets, Burdyka
  • Shynkevich, Natallia
  • Kartun, Andrei
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    Abstract

    Results of econometric modeling of the Belarusian economy are presented in the article. The methodology of building macromodel for analysis and forecasting of main indicators is described. Estimations of the effects of a rise in oil and gas prices on the key economic indicators are given. The consequences of different scenarios of development of Belarusian economy in 2008 are obtained by simulation

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    File URL: http://pe.cemi.rssi.ru/pe_2008_2_21-43.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS" in its journal Applied Econometrics.

    Volume (Year): 10 (2008)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 21-43

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    Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0127

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    Web page: http://appliedeconometrics.cemi.rssi.ru/

    Related research

    Keywords: econometric modeling; macromodel; oil and gas prices;

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    1. Aivazian, Sergei & Brodsky, Boris, 2006. "Macroeconometric modeling: modern trends, problems, an example of the econometric model of the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 2(2), pages 85-111.
    2. Neil R. Ericsson, 1998. "Empirical modeling of money demand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 295-315.
    3. Brodsky, Boris, 2006. "The Influence of the Ruble Real Exchange Rate on the Russian Economy," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 4(4), pages 90-104.
    4. Charemza, Wojciech & Makarova , Svetlana & Kharin, Yuriy & Malugin, Vladimir & Huryn , Aliaksandr & Raskina, Julia, 2006. "On Building Economic Development Patterns for Russia and Belorussia on the Basis of LAM-3 Econometric Model," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 2(2), pages 124-139.
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