Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Macroeconometric modeling: modern trends, problems, an example of the econometric model of the Russian economy

Contents:

Author Info

  • Aivazian, Sergei

    ()
    (CEMI RAS, Moscow, Russia)

  • Brodsky, Boris

    ()
    (Central Economic-Mathematical Institute, Russia)

Abstract

This research deals with methodological problems of econometric modeling for the Russian economy of 1990–2000s with respect to modern trends in macroeconomic and econometric theory. The authors propose a two-stage procedure of modeling. At the first stage a disaggregated dynamical model is created aimed at theoretical description of the main sectors of the Russian economy: export-oriented, inner-oriented, gas, infrastructural monopolies, monetary, budget, household income and expenditure sectors. At the second stage an econometric model is proposed which includes the nonstationary cointegration type and the balance type relationships and identities. This system of equations is solved simultaneously and used for the analysis of short-term and medium-term shocks and projections.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://pe.cemi.rssi.ru/pe_2006_2_85-111.pdf
File Function: Full text
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS" in its journal Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 2 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 85-111

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0087

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://appliedeconometrics.cemi.rssi.ru/

Related research

Keywords: Russian economy; cointegration;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Basdevant, Olivier, 2000. "An econometric model of the Russian Federation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 305-336, April.
  2. Perron, P, 1988. "The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock And The Unit Root Hypothesis," Papers 338, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Aivazian, Sergey & Brodsky , Boris & Sandoyan, Edward & Voskanyan, Mariam & Manukyan, David, 2013. "Macroeconometric modeling of Russian and Armenian economies. II. Aggregated macroeconometric models of the national economies of Russia and Armenia," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 31(3), pages 7-31.
  2. Brodsky, Boris, 2006. "The Influence of the Ruble Real Exchange Rate on the Russian Economy," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 4(4), pages 90-104.
  3. Kravtsov, Mikhail & Burdyka, Mikalai & Haspadarets, Burdyka & Shynkevich, Natallia & Kartun, Andrei, 2008. "An Econometric Macroeconomic Model for Analysis and Forecasting of Key Indicators of the Belarusian Economy," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 10(2), pages 21-43.
  4. Aivazian, Sergey & Brodsky, Boris & Sandoyan, Edward & Voskanyan, Mariam & Manukyan, David, 2013. "Macroeconometric modeling of the Russian and Armenian economy. I. Peculiarities of macroeconomic situation and theoretical description of dynamic models," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 30(2), pages 3-25.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0087. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Anatoly Peresetsky).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.