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Inflation Targets – What Factors Can Help to Explain Their Levels

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  • Joanna NiedźwiedziÅ„ska

    (National Bank of Poland)

Abstract

Inflation targeting is nowadays used by around 40 countries, with each of them tailoring some features of the strategy to its own needs. This holds especially for deciding on the level of inflation targets. The analysis conducted in the paper aims at identifying factors affecting the choice of the target levels, with macroeconomic, structural and institutional characteristics of the reviewed economies being investigated. The main conclusion is that both backward- and forward-looking models can help to explain how inflation targets are set. Evidently inflation and GDP growth (past and forecast) together with information on a possibly ongoing disinflation process are of key importance, but – especially for emerging market economies – also inflation variance and the level of economic development seem to influence the target levels. Moreover, many of the institutional features related, among others, to transparency and accountability of the reviewed central banks, were found significant in the analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Joanna NiedźwiedziÅ„ska, 2020. "Inflation Targets – What Factors Can Help to Explain Their Levels," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(1), pages 47-89, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:psc:journl:v:12:y:2020:i:1:p:47-89
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; central banking; policy design;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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