Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Quelle est la configuration des cycles aux États-Unis ? Une modélisation dynamique traditionnelle

Contents:

Author Info

  • François Lecointe
  • Patrick Artus
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    [ger] Der Verlauf der Konjunkturzyklen in den Vereinigten Staaten. Eine herkömmliche dynamische Modellbildung, . von Patrick Artus, François Lecointe.. . In den Vereinigten Staaten ist der "normale" Verlauf eines Konjunkturzyklus in jüngster Zeit Gegenstand zahlreicher Diskussionen gewesen. Nachdem untersucht worden ist, welche Verhaltensweisen oder Mechanismen zyklische Schwankungen verursachen können, wird in diesem Artikel ein dynamisches Ökonomerriemodell für die amerikanische Wirtschaft geschätzt. Dies ermöglicht es, die Dauer, die Periodizität und die Ursache der amerikanischen Konjunkturzyklen zu bestimmen, und gibt Aufschluß über die Diskussionen, die gegenwärtig tiber die Möglichkeit der Überwindung der Rezession geführt werden. [eng] What is the Configuration of Cycles in the United States? A Traditional Dynamic Model, . by Patrick Artus, François Lecointe.. . The "normal"confïguration of economic cycles has recently been under review in the United States. After examination of the behaviours or mechanisms causing cyclical fluctuations, we have derived a dynamic econometric model for the American economy. This makes it possible to determine the scope, periodicity and sources of American economic cycles, and thus to clarify current debate on what emergence from recession will be like. [fre] Quelle est la configuration des cycles aux États-Unis ? Une modélisation dynamique traditionnelle, . par Patrick Artus, François Lecointe.. . La configuration "normale" d'un cycle économique a fait récemment l'objet de nombreuses interrogations aux États-Unis. Après avoir examiné quels comportements ou mécanismes pouvaient être à l'origine de fluctuations cycliques, nous estimons un modèle économétrique dynamique pour l'économie américaine. Cela permet de déterminer l'ampleur, la périodicité et la source des cycles économiques américains, et ainsi d'éclairer les débats présents sur le profil de sortie de récession. [spa] Configuración de los ciclos económicos en los Estados Unidos. Modelización dinámica conventional, . por Patrick Artus y François Lecointe.. . La configuración "normal" de un ciclo económico fue sometida recientemente a un análisis en los Estados Unidos. Tras examinar los comportamientos o los mecanismos que pueden originar fluctuaciones cîclicas, se élabora un modelo econométrico dinámico para la economía estadounidense. Esto permite determinar la importancia, la periodicidad y la fuente de los ciclos económicos estadounidenses y aclarar así los debates actuales respecto a las soluciones que permitan salir de la recesión.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3406/ecop.1993.5594
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.persee.fr/articleAsPDF/ecop_0249-4744_1993_num_107_1_5594/ecop_0249-4744_1993_num_107_1_5594.pdf?mode=light
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Économie & prévision.

    Volume (Year): 107 (1993)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 1-14

    as in new window
    Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1993_num_107_1_5594

    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1993.5594
    Contact details of provider:
    Web page: http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/revue/ecop

    Related research

    Keywords:

    References

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
    as in new window
    1. Baxter, Marianne, 1991. "Business cycles, stylized facts, and the exchange rate regime: evidence from the United States," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 71-88, March.
    2. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1987. "Sectoral vs. Aggregate Shocks in the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(2), pages 333-36, May.
    3. Bernanke, Ben & Gertler, Mark, 1990. "Financial Fragility and Economic Performance," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 105(1), pages 87-114, February.
    4. N. Gregory Mankiw, 1989. "Real Business Cycles: A New Keynesian Perspective," NBER Working Papers 2882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Ben S. Bernanke, 1983. "Non-Monetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression," NBER Working Papers 1054, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bernanke, Ben S & Parkinson, Martin L, 1991. "Procyclical Labor Productivity and Competing Theories of the Business Cycle: Some Evidence from Interwar U.S. Manufacturing Industries," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 439-59, June.
    7. Barro, Robert J & King, Robert G, 1984. "Time-separable Preferences and Intertemporal-Substitution Models of Business Cycles," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 99(4), pages 817-39, November.
    8. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1983. "Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(1), pages 39-69, February.
    9. Nordhaus, William D, 1975. "The Political Business Cycle," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 169-90, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1993_num_107_1_5594. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Equipe PERSEE).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.