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Impact of Climate Change on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Rafat Mahmood

    (Staff Economist, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Sundus Saleemi

    (Staff Economist, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Sajid Amin

    (Research Fellow, Sustainable Development Institute (SDPI), Islamabad)

Abstract

The energy sector is sensitive to changing weather patterns and Pakistan is one of those countries where temperature rise induced by climate change is expected to be above the world average. In this backdrop the present study aims at finding the impact of climate change on electricity demand in Pakistan at the regional and national level. Using monthly data on temperatures to find heating and cooling degree days, the relationship between monthly electricity demand and temperature is explored which is then used to find the impact of projected climate change on electricity demand. The results suggest surging peak loads in summer season due to climatic effect which calls for capacity instalments over and above that needed to cater to rise in electricity demand attributable to economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafat Mahmood & Sundus Saleemi & Sajid Amin, 2016. "Impact of Climate Change on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 29-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:55:y:2016:i:1:p:29-47
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2016/Volume1/29-47.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Malik, Afia, 2019. "Dynamics and Determinants of Energy Intensity: Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 103456, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy; Climate Change; Electricity Demand; Degree Days; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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