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Air quality co-benefits for human health and agriculture counterbalance costs to meet Paris Agreement pledges

Author

Listed:
  • Toon Vandyck

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Kimon Keramidas

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Alban Kitous

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Joseph V. Spadaro

    (Spadaro Environmental Research Consultants (SERC))

  • Rita Van Dingenen

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Mike Holland

    (Ecometrics Research and Consulting (EMRC))

  • Bert Saveyn

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

Abstract

Local air quality co-benefits can provide complementary support for ambitious climate action and can enable progress on related Sustainable Development Goals. Here we show that the transformation of the energy system implied by the emission reduction pledges brought forward in the context of the Paris Agreement on climate change (Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs) substantially reduces local air pollution across the globe. The NDCs could avoid between 71 and 99 thousand premature deaths annually in 2030 compared to a reference case, depending on the stringency of direct air pollution controls. A more ambitious 2 °C-compatible pathway raises the number of avoided premature deaths from air pollution to 178–346 thousand annually in 2030, and up to 0.7–1.5 million in the year 2050. Air quality co-benefits on morbidity, mortality, and agriculture could globally offset the costs of climate policy. An integrated policy perspective is needed to maximise benefits for climate and health.

Suggested Citation

  • Toon Vandyck & Kimon Keramidas & Alban Kitous & Joseph V. Spadaro & Rita Van Dingenen & Mike Holland & Bert Saveyn, 2018. "Air quality co-benefits for human health and agriculture counterbalance costs to meet Paris Agreement pledges," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-06885-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06885-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Xueting, 2023. "Rapid decarbonization in the Chinese electric power sector and air pollution reduction Co-benefits in the Post-COP26 Era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Cao, Libin & Tang, Yiqi & Cai, Bofeng & Wu, Pengcheng & Zhang, Yansen & Zhang, Fengxue & Xin, Bo & Lv, Chen & Chen, Kai & Fang, Kai, 2021. "Was it better or worse? Simulating the environmental and health impacts of emissions trading scheme in Hubei province, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Linyi Wei & Zheng Lu & Yong Wang & Xiaohong Liu & Weiyi Wang & Chenglai Wu & Xi Zhao & Stefan Rahimi & Wenwen Xia & Yiquan Jiang, 2022. "Black carbon-climate interactions regulate dust burdens over India revealed during COVID-19," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Ostale Valriberas, Daniel & Lanzi, Elisa & Klimont, Zbigniew & Van-Dingenen, Rita, 2021. "The economic consequences of air pollution policies in Arctic Council countries: a sectoral analysis," Conference papers 330215, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Ostale Valriberas, Daniel & Lanzi, Elisa & Van-Dingenen, Rita, 2022. "The economic consequences of air pollution policies in Arctic Council countries: a sectoral focus," Conference papers 333485, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Zhaoxian Su & Yang Yang & Yun Wang & Pan Zhang & Xin Luo, 2023. "Study on Spatiotemporal Evolution Features and Affecting Factors of Collaborative Governance of Pollution Reduction and Carbon Abatement in Urban Agglomerations of the Yellow River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-20, February.
    7. Simona Frone & Victor Platon & Andreea Constantinescu, 2020. "Links And Synergies Of Sustainable Development Goals," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5, pages 53-61, October.
    8. Zhang, Dongyang, 2023. "Can environmental monitoring power transition curb corporate greenwashing behavior?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 199-218.
    9. KERAMIDAS Kimon & FOSSE Florian & DIAZ VAZQUEZ Ana & DOWLING Paul & GARAFFA Rafael & DESPRÉS Jacques & RUSS Hans Peter & SCHADE Burkhard & SCHMITZ Andreas & SORIA RAMIREZ Antonio & VANDYCK Toon & WEIT, 2021. "Global Energy and Climate Outlook 2021: Advancing towards climate neutrality," JRC Research Reports JRC126767, Joint Research Centre.
    10. Sileci, Lorenzo, 2023. "Carbon pricing with regressive co-benefits: evidence from British Columbia’s carbon tax," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121047, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Jiang, Hong-Dian & Purohit, Pallav & Liang, Qiao-Mei & Dong, Kangyin & Liu, Li-Jing, 2022. "The cost-benefit comparisons of China's and India's NDCs based on carbon marginal abatement cost curves," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. S. Vögele & K. Govorukha & P. Mayer & I. Rhoden & D. Rübbelke & W. Kuckshinrichs, 2023. "Effects of a coal phase-out in Europe on reaching the UN Sustainable Development Goals," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 879-916, January.
    13. Taran Faehn & Gabriel Bachner & Robert Beach & Jean Chateau & Shinichiro Fujimori & Madanmohan Ghosh & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Elisa Lanzi & Sergey Paltsev & Toon Vandyck & Bruno Cunha & Rafael Garaffa , 2020. "Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE models: Assessment of Status and Remaining Challenges," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 5(1), pages 196-272, June.
    14. Zhu, Junpeng & Wu, Shaohui & Xu, Junbing, 2023. "Synergy between pollution control and carbon reduction: China's evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    15. Jun Liu & Wenji Zhou & Jing Yang & Hongtao Ren & Behnam Zakeri & Dan Tong & Ying Guo & Zbigniew Klimont & Tong Zhu & Xiaolong Tang & Honghong Yi, 2022. "Importing or self-dependent: energy transition in Beijing towards carbon neutrality and the air pollution reduction co-benefits," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 1-24, August.
    16. Zhang, Hui & Zhang, Bing, 2020. "The unintended impact of carbon trading of China's power sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    17. Jean Chateau & Erwin Corong & Elisa Lanzi & Caitlyn Carrico & Jean Fouré & David Laborde, 2020. "Characterizing Supply-Side Drivers of Structural Change in the Construction of Economic Baseline Projections," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 5(1), pages 109-161, June.

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