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An experimental test of prospect theory for predicting choice under ambiguity

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  • Amit Kothiyal
  • Vitalie Spinu
  • Peter Wakker

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    Abstract

    Prospect theory is the most popular theory for predicting decisions under risk. This paper investigates its predictive power for decisions under ambiguity, using its specification through the source method. We find that it outperforms its most popular alternatives, including subjective expected utility, Choquet expected utility, and three multiple priors theories: maxmin expected utility, maxmax expected utility, and a-maxmin expected utility. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11166-014-9185-0
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.

    Volume (Year): 48 (2014)
    Issue (Month): 1 (February)
    Pages: 1-17

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:48:y:2014:i:1:p:1-17

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    Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100299

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    Cited by:
    1. Lahno, Amrei M., 2014. "Social anchor effects in decision-making under ambiguity," Discussion Papers in Economics 20960, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

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