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Generalised Rational Bias in Financial Forecasts

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Author Info
George Christodoulakis ()

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Abstract

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10436-006-0043-1
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Annals of Finance.

Volume (Year): 2 (2006)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
Pages: 397-405
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:2:y:2006:i:4:p:397-405

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=112370

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Related research
Keywords: Asymmetric preferences; Distribution of forecasters; LinEx; Non-normality; Optimal forecasts; Skewed normal; G1; C5;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Dolado, J.J. & Maria-Dolores, R. & Ruge-Murcia, F.J., 2003. "Nonlinear Monetary Policy Rules: Some New Evidence for the U.S," Cahiers de recherche 18-2003, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Gu, Zhaoyang & Wu, Joanna Shuang, 2003. "Earnings skewness and analyst forecast bias," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 5-29, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. David Laster & Paul Bennett & In Sun Geoum, 1999. "Rational Bias In Macroeconomic Forecasts," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 114(1), pages 293-318, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 1997. "Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(06), pages 808-817, December. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. A. Robert Nobay & David A. Peel, 2003. "Optimal Discretionary Monetary Policy in a Model of Asymmetric Central Bank Preferences," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(489), pages 657-665, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Ruge-Murcia, Francisco J., 2004. "The inflation bias when the central bank targets the natural rate of unemployment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 91-107, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Peter Pope & David Peel & Mark Clatworthy, 2005. "Are analysts' loss functions asymmetric?," Working Papers 003059, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Dolado, Juan J. & Maria-Dolores, Ramon & Naveira, Manuel, 2005. "Are monetary-policy reaction functions asymmetric?: The role of nonlinearity in the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 485-503, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Christodoulakis, George A., 2005. "Financial forecasts in the presence of asymmetric loss aversion, skewness and excess kurtosis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 227-233, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-17.


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