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Assessing Risk for International Real Estate Investments

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Abstract

Overseas real estate investment has increased considerably in recent years. The assessment of risk for these investments, especially for real estate, has thus become very important. This study assesses the performance of real estate, stocks and bonds in the U.S., Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and New Zealand over the period 1985-93. The results indicate that the degree of appraisal-smoothing and intertemporal correlation in each of the five international real estate series is significant, resulting in the need to increase the real estate risk estimates by 34% to 47%. To account for currency risk over this nine-year period, currency-adjusted returns and risk were also estimated for investors from each of these five countries. All risk profiles increased significantly for international investors when adjusting for currency risk. However, additional portfolio diversification was achieved using real estate for international investors.

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  • Graeme Newell & James R. Webb, 1996. "Assessing Risk for International Real Estate Investments," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(2), pages 103-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:11:n:2:1996:p:103-116
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    1. David J. Hartzell & James R. Webb, 1988. "Real Estate Risk and Return Expectations: Recent Survey Results," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 3(3), pages 31-37.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kwame Addae‐Dapaah & Wilfred Tan Yong Hwee, 2009. "The unsung impact of currency risk on the performance of international real property investment," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(1), pages 56-65, January.
    2. Ivo Wit, 2010. "International Diversification Strategies for Direct Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(4), pages 433-457, November.
    3. Glassman, Debra A. & Riddick, Leigh A., 2001. "What causes home asset bias and how should it be measured?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 35-54, March.
    4. Addae-Dapaah, Kwame & Tan Yong Hwee, Wilfred, 2009. "The unsung impact of currency risk on the performance of international real property investment," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 56-65, January.
    5. C.F. Sirmans & Elaine Worzala, 2003. "International Direct Real Estate Investment: A Review of the Literature," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(5-6), pages 1081-1114, May.
    6. Emmanuel Anoruo, 2019. "Asymmetric Causality Analysis of the Interactions Between Gold and REIT Returns," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 513-534.
    7. Foort Hamelink & Martin Hoesli, 2004. "What Factors Determine International Real Estate Security Returns?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 437-462, September.
    8. Robert T. Kleiman & James E. Payne & Anandi P. Sahu, 2002. "Random Walks and Market Efficiency: Evidence from International Real Estate Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 24(3), pages 279-298.
    9. Bing Zhu & Colin Lizieri, 2021. "Connected markets through global real estate investments," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(S2), pages 618-654, September.
    10. Philipp Bejol & Nicola Livingstone, 2018. "Revisiting currency swaps: hedging real estate investments in global city markets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(2), pages 191-209, March.
    11. Pat Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2003. "International Diversification of Real Estate Assets - Is it Worth It? Evidence from the Literature," Working Paper Series 126, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    12. John Gallo & Ying Zhang, 2010. "Global Property Market Diversification," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(4), pages 458-485, November.
    13. Joseph L. Pagliari, Jr. & James R. Webb & Todd A. Canter & Frederich Lieblich, 1997. "A Fundamental Comparison of International Real Estate Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 13(3), pages 317-348.
    14. João da Rocha Lima & Cláudio Tavares de Alencar, 2006. "Os Atributos Do Mercado Brasileiro De Empreendimentos De Base Imobiliária Para Captar Recursos De Investidores Estrangeiros," LARES lares_2006_artigo-claudio, Latin American Real Estate Society (LARES).
    15. Martin Hoesli & Jon Lekander & Witold Witkiewicz, 2004. "New International Evidence on Real Estate as a Portfolio Diversifier," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 26(2), pages 161-206.
    16. Qiu, Leiju & Li, Tianyu & He, Qing & Zhao, Daxuan, 2021. "Policy uncertainty and overseas property purchases: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    17. Carsten Lausberg & Stephen Lee & Moritz Müller & Cay Oertel & Tobias Schultheiß, 2020. "Risk measures for direct real estate investments with non-normal or unknown return distributions," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 6(1), pages 3-27, April.
    18. John L. Glascock & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2018. "Can Investors Hold More Real Estate? Evidence from Statistical Properties of Listed REIT versus Non-REIT Property Companies in the U.S," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 274-302, February.
    19. Wen-Chi Liao & Daxuan Zhao & Li Ping Lim & Grace Khei Mie Wong, 2015. "Foreign liquidity to real estate market: Ripple effect and housing price dynamics," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(1), pages 138-158, January.
    20. James Payne & Anandi Sahu, 2004. "Random walks, cointegration, and the transmission of shocks across global real estate and equity markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 28(2), pages 198-210, June.

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    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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