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Exotic Options for Interruptible Electricity Supply Contracts

Author

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  • Rajnish Kamat

    (Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720)

  • Shmuel S. Oren

    (Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720)

Abstract

This paper presents the design and pricing of financial contracts for the supply and procurement of interruptible electricity service. While the contract forms and pricing methodology have broader applications, the focus of this work is on electricity market applications, which motivate the contract structures and price process assumptions. In particular, we propose a new contract form that bundles simple forwards with exotic call options that have two exercise points with different strike prices. Such options allow hedging and valuation of supply curtailment risk, while explicitly accounting for the notification lead time before curtailment.The proposed instruments are priced under the traditional GBM price process assumption and under the more realistic assumption (for electricity markets) of a mean reverting price process with jumps. The latter results employ state-of-the-art Fourier transforms techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Rajnish Kamat & Shmuel S. Oren, 2002. "Exotic Options for Interruptible Electricity Supply Contracts," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 50(5), pages 835-850, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:50:y:2002:i:5:p:835-850
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.50.5.835.371
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Moore, J. & Woo, C.K. & Horii, B. & Price, S. & Olson, A., 2010. "Estimating the option value of a non-firm electricity tariff," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1609-1614.
    2. christoph Engel, 2005. "Voice over IP. Competition Policy and Regulation," Discussion Paper Series of the Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods 2005_26, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods.
    3. Cartea, Álvaro & González-Pedraz, Carlos, 2012. "How much should we pay for interconnecting electricity markets? A real options approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 14-30.
    4. Leung, Melvern & Fung, Man Chung & O’Hare, Colin, 2018. "A comparative study of pricing approaches for longevity instruments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 95-116.
    5. Fred Schroyen & Adekola Oyenuga, 2011. "Optimal pricing and capacity choice for a public service under risk of interruption," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 252-272, June.
    6. Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2019. "Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 1011-1023.
    7. Marcelo G. Figueroa, 2006. "Pricing Multiple Interruptible-Swing Contracts," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0606, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    8. Claude Crampes & Thomas-Olivier Léautier, 2015. "Demand response in adjustment markets for electricity," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 169-193, October.
    9. Paul R. Kleindorfer & D. J. Wu, 2003. "Integrating Long- and Short-Term Contracting via Business-to-Business Exchanges for Capital-Intensive Industries," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(11), pages 1597-1615, November.
    10. Deng, S.J. & Oren, S.S., 2006. "Electricity derivatives and risk management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 940-953.
    11. Sarıca, Kemal & Kumbaroğlu, Gürkan & Or, Ilhan, 2012. "Modeling and analysis of a decentralized electricity market: An integrated simulation/optimization approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 830-852.
    12. Çağrı Latifoğlu & Pietro Belotti & Lawrence V. Snyder, 2013. "Models for production planning under power interruptions," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(5), pages 413-431, August.
    13. Deng, Shi-Jie & Xu, Li, 2009. "Mean-risk efficient portfolio analysis of demand response and supply resources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1523-1529.
    14. Sezgen, Osman & Goldman, C.A. & Krishnarao, P., 2007. "Option value of electricity demand response," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 108-119.
    15. Björn Lutz, 2010. "Pricing of Derivatives on Mean-Reverting Assets," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-642-02909-7, October.
    16. Woo, C.K. & Zarnikau, J. & Moore, J. & Horowitz, I., 2011. "Wind generation and zonal-market price divergence: Evidence from Texas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 3928-3938, July.
    17. Ali Fattahi & Sriram Dasu & Reza Ahmadi, 2023. "Peak-Load Energy Management by Direct Load Control Contracts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2788-2813, May.
    18. Nicola Secomandi, 2010. "On the Pricing of Natural Gas Pipeline Capacity," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 12(3), pages 393-408, October.
    19. Ross Baldick & Sergey Kolos & Stathis Tompaidis, 2006. "Interruptible Electricity Contracts from an Electricity Retailer's Point of View: Valuation and Optimal Interruption," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(4), pages 627-642, August.

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