IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/imx/journl/v18y2023i4p7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pass-through del tipo de cambio en América Latina

Author

Listed:
  • Paul Christian Espinoza Ipanaque

    (Universidad Continental, Perú)

Abstract

En esta investigación se evalúa y compara la dinámica de traspaso del tipo de cambio a la variación de los precios al consumidor en Colombia, Chile, México y Perú desde febrero de 2003 hasta octubre de 2022. Se utiliza la metodología de vectores autorregresivos estructurales (SVAR, por su sigla en inglés) siguiendo la descomposición de Blanchard y Quah (1989). Los resultados muestran un nivel relativamente bajo de traspaso, cierta heterogeneidad en sus magnitudes y con un periodo similar mayor a 25 meses para alcanzar su efecto permanente de largo plazo. Esto nos indica que los bancos centrales de la región deben continuar operando dentro de rangos metas para fortalecer el anclaje de las expectativas de inflación. Una limitación del estudio es la no inclusión de datos antes de la adopción de metas de inflación. Este trabajo representa el primer esfuerzo en aplicar el modelo de vectores autorregresivos estructurales con restricciones de largo plazo a través de ceros robusto a las economías de América Latina. Los efectos del traspaso del tipo de cambio en América Latina se han reducido.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Christian Espinoza Ipanaque, 2023. "Pass-through del tipo de cambio en América Latina," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(4), pages 1-15, Octubre -.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:18:y:2023:i:4:p:7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/article/view/846
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-673, September.
    2. Matuka, Adelajda, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Prices: VAR Evidence for Albania," MPRA Paper 92005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Adelajda Matuka, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Prices: VAR Evidence for Albania," International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, Conscientia Beam, vol. 6(5), pages 303-315.
    4. Froot, Kenneth A & Klemperer, Paul D, 1989. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through When Market Share Matters," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 637-654, September.
    5. Carrera, César, 2015. "Tracking exchange rate management in Latin America," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 35-41.
    6. Adelajda Matuka, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Prices: VAR Evidence for Albania," International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, Conscientia Beam, vol. 6(5), pages 303-315.
    7. Andrés Sansone & Santiago Justel, 2016. "Exchange rate pass-through to prices: var evidence for Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(1), pages 20-37, April.
    8. Asafo, Shuffield Seyram, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Prices : Bayesian VAR Evidence for Ghana," MPRA Paper 92967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Mahir Binici & Samuele Centorrino & Serhan Cevik & Gyowon Gwon, 2024. "Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(2), pages 237-290, April.
    10. Mujica R., Patricio & Saens, Rodrigo, 2015. "Traspaso de tipo de cambio y metas de inflación en Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lucio Sarno & Mark P. Taylor, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(1), pages 1-5.
    2. Mar𨁌orena Mar𑁥l Cristo & Marta G -Puig, 2013. "Pass-through in dollarized countries: should Ecuador abandon the US dollar?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(31), pages 4395-4411, November.
    3. Barber, Brad M. & Click, Reid W. & Darrough, Masako N., 1999. "The impact of shocks to exchange rates and oil prices on U.S. sales of American and Japanese automakers," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 57-93, January.
    4. Gabriela Contreras & Francisco Pinto, 2016. "Traspaso de tipo de cambio nominal a inflación desagregada en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 154-170, August.
    5. Abdul Jalil, 2020. "What Do We Know of Exchange Rate Pass Through?," PIDE Knowledge Brief 2020:5, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    6. Evans, Charles L. & Marshall, David A., 2007. "Economic determinants of the nominal treasury yield curve," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1986-2003, October.
    7. Agnès Bénassy‐Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2011. "Exchange‐rate Misalignments in Duopoly: The Case of Airbus and Boeing," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 623-641, April.
    8. Bonhomme, Stphane & Robin, Jean-Marc, 2009. "Consistent noisy independent component analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 12-25, April.
    9. Muellbauer, John & Sinclair, Peter & Aron, Janine & Farrell, Greg, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 8153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Friday Osemenshan Anetor, 2020. "Foreign Capital Inflows, Financial Development and Growth In Nigeria: A Structural VAR Approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(3), pages 69-86, July-Sept.
    11. An, Lian & Kim, Gil & Ren, Xiaomei, 2014. "Is devaluation expansionary or contractionary: Evidence based on vector autoregression with sign restrictions," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 27-41.
    12. Kiptui, Moses, 2015. "Sources of Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Kenya: The Relative Importance of Real and Nominal Shocks," MPRA Paper 61515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Adolfson, Malin, 2001. "Monetary Policy with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 476, Stockholm School of Economics.
    14. Hartikainen, Johanna, 1995. "Dynamic effects of demand and supply disturbances on the Finnish economy: Did liberalization of capital movements matter?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 36/1995, Bank of Finland.
    15. Konstantins Benkovskis, 2006. "The Effect of Latvian Pension Reform on Savings and Government Budget," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 6(1), pages 3-21, July.
    16. Candelon, Bertrand & Lieb, Lenard, 2013. "Fiscal policy in good and bad times," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2679-2694.
    17. Britta Gehrke & Fang Yao, 2016. "Persistence and volatility of real exchange rates: the role of supply shocks revisited," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    18. van Amano, Robert A & Norden, Simon, 1998. "Exchange Rates and Oil Prices," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(4), pages 683-694, November.
    19. Sellin, Peter, 1998. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 72, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    20. Webber, A., 1999. "Newton's Gravity Law and Import Prices in the Asia Pacific," Economics Working Papers WP99-12, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    efecto traspaso; pass-through; tipo de cambio; precios al consumidor; SVAR; América Latina;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:18:y:2023:i:4:p:7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ricardo Mendoza (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.