IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/imx/journl/v16y2021i3a6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dependencia de los mercados de valores de Argentina, Brasil y México respecto del estadounidense: Covid19 y otras crisis financieras recientes

Author

Listed:
  • Domingo Rodríguez Benavides

    (Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México)

  • César Gurrola Ríos

    (Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, México)

  • Francisco López Herrera

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México)

Abstract

Este artículo muestra el análisis efectuado para comparar la estructura de dependencia de la caída de los rendimientos accionarios de los mercados de los tres países más grandes de América Latina (Argentina, Brasil y México) en los rendimientos del mercado de valores estadounidense. Se compara la caída propiciada por el surgimiento de la pandemia de Covid-19 con otros episodios de crisis financieras acaecidas a partir de la última década del siglo XX. Mediante cópulas bivariadas de Clayton con regímenes conducidos por cambios markovianos, se estudia el grado de la dependencia en la cola inferior de la distribución, encontrando patrones distintos de dependencia que sugieren que los mercados de Brasil y México son más dependientes que el argentino. Una limitante es que no termina aún la recuperación económica derivada de la pandemia, por lo que los resultados en relación con los efectos de la Covid-19 podráan considerarse sólo como provisionales, sin embargo, este artículo contribuye a entender cómo ha sido el proceso de globalización y las posibles consecuencias para la internacionalización de los mercados bursátiles latinoamericanos y la inversión en la región, incluyendo la de portafolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Domingo Rodríguez Benavides & César Gurrola Ríos & Francisco López Herrera, 2021. "Dependencia de los mercados de valores de Argentina, Brasil y México respecto del estadounidense: Covid19 y otras crisis financieras recientes," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, Julio - S.
  • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:16:y:2021:i:3:a:6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/article/view/652
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Roberto Frenkel, 2003. "Globalizacion y Crisis Financieras en America Latina," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 23(3), pages 437-455.
    2. Gjika, Dritan & Horváth, Roman, 2013. "Stock market comovements in Central Europe: Evidence from the asymmetric DCC model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-64.
    3. Çakmaklı, Cem & Demiralp, Selva & Özcan, Şebnem Kalemli & Yeşiltaş, Sevcan & Yıldırım, Muhammed A., 2023. "COVID-19 and emerging markets: A SIR model, demand shocks and capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    4. Narayan, S. & Sriananthakumar, S. & Islam, S.Z., 2014. "Stock market integration of emerging Asian economies: Patterns and causes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 19-31.
    5. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    6. Ekaterina Dorodnykh, 2014. "Determinants of stock exchange integration: evidence in worldwide perspective," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 41(2), pages 292 - 316, March.
    7. Karpoff, Jonathan M., 1987. "The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 109-126, March.
    8. Christian Espinosa-Méndez & Juan Gorigoitía & João Vieito, 2017. "Is the Virtual Integration of Financial Markets Beneficial in Emerging Markets? Evidence from MILA," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(10), pages 2279-2302, October.
    9. Masao Kumamoto & Juanjuan Zhuo, 2020. "Government Bond Market Integration in ASEAN Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 289-312, March.
    10. Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel, 2014. "Linkages between emerging and developed equity markets: Empirical evidence in the PMG framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 322-335.
    11. Andrew C. Worthington & Helen Higgs, 2006. "Evaluating Financial Development In Emerging Capital Markets With Efficiency Benchmarks," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 31(1), pages 17-44, June.
    12. Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali & Hmida, Salma, 2017. "A Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Eurozone Stock Markets," MPRA Paper 83718, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
    13. Nguyen, Cuong & Ishaq Bhatti, M. & Henry, Darren, 2017. "Are Vietnam and Chinese stock markets out of the US contagion effect in extreme events?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 480(C), pages 10-21.
    14. Abbas Valadkhani & Surachai Chancharat, 2008. "Dynamic linkages between Thai and international stock markets," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(5), pages 425-441, September.
    15. Ali, Mohsin & Alam, Nafis & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) — An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    16. Moreno-Brid, Juan Carlos & Ros, Jaime, 2009. "Development and Growth in the Mexican Economy: An Historical Perspective," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195371161.
    17. Marcet, Francisco, 2017. "Analyst coverage network and stock return comovement in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-27.
    18. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Angela Ng, 2005. "Market Integration and Contagion," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(1), pages 39-70, January.
    19. Ekaterina Dorodnykh, 2014. "Determinants of stock exchange integration: evidence in worldwide perspective," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(2), pages 292-316, March.
    20. John Rosso & David Arbeláez García, 2016. "Efectos estacionales en los mercados de capitales de la Alianza del Pacífico," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 32(141), pages 358-368, December.
    21. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 2003. "Emerging markets finance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 3-56, February.
    22. Kasa, Kenneth, 1992. "Common stochastic trends in international stock markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 95-124, February.
    23. Masao Kumamoto & Juanjuan Zhuo, 2020. "Government Bond Market Integration in ASEAN Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 289-312.
    24. Paul Embrechts & Sidney Resnick & Gennady Samorodnitsky, 1999. "Extreme Value Theory as a Risk Management Tool," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 30-41.
    25. Chambet, Anthony & Gibson, Rajna, 2008. "Financial integration, economic instability and trade structure in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 654-675, June.
    26. Francisco López-Herrera & Domingo Rodríguez Benavides & César Gurrola Ríos, 2019. "Spillovers entre el S&Poor500 y los principales EMBIG latinoamericanos," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 14(PNEA), pages 527-540, Agosto 20.
    27. Carrieri, Francesca & Errunza, Vihang & Hogan, Ked, 2007. "Characterizing World Market Integration through Time," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(4), pages 915-940, December.
    28. Ftiti, Zied & Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Louhichi, Waël, 2021. "Does non-fundamental news related to COVID-19 matter for stock returns? Evidence from Shanghai stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    29. Mohti, Wahbeeah & Dionísio, Andreia & Vieira, Isabel & Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Financial contagion analysis in frontier markets: Evidence from the US subprime and the Eurozone debt crises," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1388-1398.
    30. Calvo, Sara & Reinhart, Carmen, 1996. "Capital flows to Latin America : Is there evidence of contagion effects?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1619, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2022. "Measuring market integration during crisis periods," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Chen, Peng, 2018. "Understanding international stock market comovements: A comparison of developed and emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 451-464.
    3. Guesmi, Khaled & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "How strong is the global integration of emerging market regions? An empirical assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2517-2527.
    4. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2020. "Time-varying dependence in European equity markets: A contagion and investor sentiment driven analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 133-147.
    5. Arouri Mohamed el hédi & Jamel Jouini, 2009. "Analysis of structural breaks in the stock market integration of mexico into world," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 1380-1392.
    6. Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel & Lahiani, Amine, 2016. "Financial contagion between the US and selected developed and emerging countries: The case of the subprime crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 14-28.
    7. Wahyoe Soedarmono, 2018. "Stock market integration in the Asia-Pacific region: Evidence from cointegration of liquidity risk," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 60-70.
    8. Donadelli, Michael & Persha, Lauren, 2014. "Understanding emerging market equity risk premia: Industries, governance and macroeconomic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 284-309.
    9. Kasilingam Lingaraja & Murugesan Selvam & Vinayagamoorthi Vasanth & Ramachandran Rajesh Ramkumar, 2015. "Long-run Overseas Portfolio Diversification Benefits and Opportunities of Asian Emerging Stock Markets and Developed Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 324-333.
    10. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    11. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra & Chini, Zanetti, 2021. "Financial Contagion During the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Wavelet-Copula-GARCH Approach," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202110, University of Turin.
    13. Aymen Ben Rejeb & Adel Boughrara, 2015. "Financial integration in emerging market economies: Effects on volatility transmission and contagion," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 15(3), pages 161-179, September.
    14. Thomas Lagoarde-Segot & Brian Lucey, 2006. "Financial Contagion in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp114, IIIS.
    15. Liow, Kim Hiang & Newell, Graeme, 2016. "Real estate global beta and spillovers: An international study," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 297-313.
    16. Naseri, Marjan & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Integration and Comovement of Developed and Emerging Islamic Stock Markets: A Case Study of Malaysia," MPRA Paper 58799, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "News-based economic policy uncertainty and financial contagion: An international evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 63-76.
    18. Khaled Guesmi, 2011. "What Drives the Regional Integration of Emerging Stock Markets?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2603-2619.
    19. Woon Sau Leung & Nicholas Taylor, 2013. "Testing for contagion: the impact of US structured markets on international financial markets," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 11, pages 256-284, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    20. Md. Saifur Rahman & Farihana Shahari, 2021. "Does the financial cooperation agreement increase the interdependency among ASEAN+3 equity markets? A Markov switching approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 869-899, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; mercados accionarios; caídas bursátiles; cópula Clayton; cambios markovianos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:16:y:2021:i:3:a:6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ricardo Mendoza (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.