IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/ijefaa/v9y2017i6p1-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

What Influences Bank Stock Prices in Times of Crisis? An International Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Elisabetta D¡¯Apolito
  • Vincenzo Pacelli

Abstract

The paper assesses whether the European banks¡¯ stock prices are predicted or affected by changes in balance-sheet indicators and macroeconomic variables. The sample covers the time period from January 2007 to December 2013. Estimates use the multiple regression model based on the weighted least squares (WLS) estimator. Results show that the stock prices of European banks are positively related to asset quality, liquidity and banks¡¯ capital ratios. However, in the same period, inflation rate and public debt exert a negative and significant effect on bank stock prices. Our findings are more significant in times of high market turbulence as have been experienced for almost a decade. These have provoked the investors¡¯ perceptions to be more unstable and volatile. The availability of information remains limited and poor. Therefore, it is necessary to emphasize that identifying the causal determinants of stock prices in the markets could generate important practical and policy implications because of the role played by banks in financing the economic system, and will also attract investors (Note 1).

Suggested Citation

  • Elisabetta D¡¯Apolito & Vincenzo Pacelli, 2017. "What Influences Bank Stock Prices in Times of Crisis? An International Survey," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(6), pages 1-14, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:6:p:1-14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/67189/36950
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/67189
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guntram B. Wolff, 2011. "Is recent bank stress really driven by the sovereign debt crisis?," Policy Contributions 622, Bruegel.
    2. Chan, Yuk-Shee & Thakor, Anjan V, 1987. "Collateral and Competitive Equilibria with Moral Hazard and Private Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 345-363, June.
    3. Anonymous, 1958. "International Monetary Fund," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 387-387, July.
    4. Millon, Marcia H & Thakor, Anjan V, 1985. "Moral Hazard and Information Sharing: A Model of Financial Information Gathering Agencies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(5), pages 1403-1422, December.
    5. Campbell, Tim S & Kracaw, William A, 1980. "Information Production, Market Signalling, and the Theory of Financial Intermediation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(4), pages 863-882, September.
    6. Lajeri, Fatma & Dermine, Jean, 1999. "Unexpected inflation and bank stock returns: The case of France 1977-1991," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 939-953, June.
    7. Sunil Mohanty & Frank Song, 2002. "International capital standards, bank portfolios and bank stock risk," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 527-534.
    8. Akella, Srinivas R & Greenbaum, Stuart I, 1992. "Innovations in Interest Rates, Duration Transformation, and Bank Stock Returns," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(1), pages 27-42, February.
    9. Franco Modigliani, 1958. "New Developments on the Oligopoly Front," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66, pages 215-215.
    10. Mr. Damiano Sandri & Mr. Ashoka Mody, 2011. "The Eurozone Crisis: How Banks and Sovereigns Came to Be Joined At the Hip," IMF Working Papers 2011/269, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Allen N. Berger & Leora F. Klapper & Rima Turk-Ariss, 2017. "Bank competition and financial stability," Chapters, in: Jacob A. Bikker & Laura Spierdijk (ed.), Handbook of Competition in Banking and Finance, chapter 10, pages 185-204, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    12. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1994. "Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1541-1578, December.
    13. Saunders, Anthony & Yourougou, Pierre, 1990. "Are banks special? The separation of banking from commerce and interest rate risk," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 171-182, May.
    14. Steven Ongena & Viorel Roscovan, 2013. "Bank Loan Announcements and Borrower Stock Returns: Does Bank Origin Matter?," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 137-159, June.
    15. Durai, S. Raja Sethu & Bhaduri, Saumitra N., 2009. "Stock prices, inflation and output: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 1089-1092, September.
    16. Brana, Sophie & Prat, Stéphanie, 2016. "The effects of global excess liquidity on emerging stock market returns: Evidence from a panel threshold model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 26-34.
    17. Anonymous, 1958. "International Monetary Fund," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 223-224, April.
    18. Allen, Franklin, 1990. "The market for information and the origin of financial intermediation," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-30, March.
    19. Anonymous, 1958. "International Monetary Fund," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 542-543, October.
    20. Choi, Jongmoo Jay & Elyasiani, Elyas & Kopecky, Kenneth J., 1992. "The sensitivity of bank stock returns to market, interest and exchange rate risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 983-1004, September.
    21. Cooper, Michael J. & Jackson, William III & Patterson, Gary A., 2003. "Evidence of predictability in the cross-section of bank stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 817-850, May.
    22. Elena Beccalli & Barbara Casu & Claudia Girardone, 2006. "Efficiency and Stock Performance in European Banking," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1‐2), pages 245-262, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Drobetz, Wolfgang & Erdmann, Thomas & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2007. "Predictability in the cross-section of European bank stock returns," Working papers 2007/21, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    2. Peter Hooper & Barbara R. Lowrey, 1979. "Impact of the dollar depreciation on the U.S. price level: an analytical survey of empirical estimates," International Finance Discussion Papers 128, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Luca, Oana & Tieman, Alexander F., 2019. "Financial sector debt bias," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Christopher Gilbert & Panos Varangis, 2004. "Globalization and International Commodity Trade with Specific Reference to the West African Cocoa Producers," NBER Chapters, in: Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics, pages 131-163, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Jacques J. Polak, 1995. "Fifty Years of Exchange Rate Research and Policy at the International Monetary Fund," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(4), pages 734-761, December.
    6. Marcus T. Allen & Jeff Madura & Kenneth J. Wiant, 1995. "Commercial Bank Exposure and Sensitivity to the Real Estate Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(2), pages 129-140.
    7. Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka & Terrones, Marco E., 2020. "Global Recessions," MPRA Paper 98608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Giulio Cifarelli & Giovanna Paladino, 2008. "Reserve overstocking in a highly integrated world. New evidence from Asia and Latin America," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 315-336.
    9. Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2016. "La flotación de 1957 y la estabilidad macroeconómica," Borradores de Economia 938, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Maanen, T. van, 1985. "The gravity model reconsidered," Serie Research Memoranda 0018, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    11. Thomas, P Mini, 2015. "Estimation of the Key Economic Determinants of Services Trade: Evidence from India," Working Papers 348, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
    12. Matthew T. Jones & Maurice Obstfeld, 1997. "Saving, Investment, and Gold: A Reassessment of Historical Current Account Data," NBER Working Papers 6103, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Giampiero Maci & Vincenzo Pacelli & Elisabetta D'Apolito, 2021. "Societ〠Di Calcio Europee Quotate E Mercati Finanziari: Un'Analisi Empirica Sulle Determinanti Dei Corsi Azionari," Rivista di Diritto ed Economia dello Sport, Centro di diritto e business dello Sport, vol. 17(2), pages 69-90, novembre.
    14. Pariyada Sukcharoensin, 2013. "Time-Varying Market, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Risks of Thai Commercial Banks," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 9(1), pages 25-45.
    15. Selwyn Cornish & Raghbendra Jha, 2017. "Trevor Swan and Indian Planning: The Lessons of 1958/59," History of Economics Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 67(1), pages 2-25, May.
    16. Claudio Soto & Alberto Naudon & Eduardo López & Alvaro Aguirre, 2004. "Acerca del Nivel Adecuado de las Reservas Internacionales," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 267, Central Bank of Chile.
    17. Sung Y. Kwack, 1977. "Price Linkage in an Interdependent World Economy: Price Responses to Exchange Rate and Activity Changes," NBER Chapters, in: Analysis of Inflation: 1965–1974, pages 447-484, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Baier, Scott L. & Bergstrand, Jeffrey H., 2001. "The growth of world trade: tariffs, transport costs, and income similarity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-27, February.
    19. Tri WIDODO, 2017. "Multi Product and Multi Region Marketing," Journal of Advanced Research in Management, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(1), pages 61-85.
    20. S. Mahendra Dev, 2018. "Tranformation of Indian agriculture: Growth, iclusiveness and sustainability," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2018-026, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock prices; banking; bank-specific accounting indicators; crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:6:p:1-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.