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Sudden Stops and Capital Controls: When to Apply in Turkey

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  • Cenk Gokce Adas
  • F. Yesim Kartalli

Abstract

Emerging market countries need capital inflows to finance their current account deficits since their domestic savings are not at desired levels. Foreign direct investment is the appreciated form of capital inflows. However, indirect capital inflows can also boost growth if used in a proper manner. If a country has weak fundamentals and institutional structures or there exists an external shock, speculative foreign capital can easily and rapidly fly away while leaving a financial crisis behind. In this study, we summarize the theoretical background of sudden stops, and then try to identify the sudden stops in Turkey for 1996-2009 period and question the reasons of such disruptions. We particularly focus on periods just before and after the global financial crises. To identify a sudden stop period we use ¡°means¡± and ¡°volatilities¡± as well as changes in capital inflows/GDP ratios. Finally, we attempt to find out inflow control mechanisms to minimize the volatility of capital movements.

Suggested Citation

  • Cenk Gokce Adas & F. Yesim Kartalli, 2016. "Sudden Stops and Capital Controls: When to Apply in Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(4), pages 289-305, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:8:y:2016:i:4:p:289-305
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guillermo A. Calvo, 2008. "Crises in Emerging Markets Economies: A Global Perspective," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Kevin Cowan & Sebastián Edwards & Rodrigo O. Valdés & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt- (ed.),Current Account and External Financing, edition 1, volume 12, chapter 3, pages 085-115, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Alexander D. Rothenberg & Francis E. Warnock, 2011. "Sudden Flight and True Sudden Stops," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 509-524, August.
    3. Luis-Fernando Mejía & Guillermo A. Calvo & Alejandro Izquierdo, 2004. "On the empirics of Sudden Stops: the relevance of balance-sheet effects," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun.
    4. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Turkey: Financial System Stability Assessment," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/361, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Guillermo A. Calvo, 1998. "Capital Flows and Capital-Market Crises: The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 1, pages 35-54, November.
    6. Kevin Cowan & José De Gregorio, 2007. "International Borrowing, Capital Controls, and the Exchange Rate: Lessons from Chile," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 241-296, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2000. "Fixing for Your Life," NBER Working Papers 8006, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Carlos Arteta, 2003. "Are financially dollarized countries more prone to costly crises?," International Finance Discussion Papers 763, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    Cited by:

    1. Emine Ebru Er & Cihan Tanrıöven, 2022. "A Sudden Stops in International Capital Flows: The Case of Turkey," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(37), pages 129-148, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic impact of globalization; financial crises; financial markets; international financial policy short-term capital movement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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