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Land Use Change and Global Adaptations to Climate Change

Author

Listed:
  • Roxana Juliá

    (Global Liberal Studies, College of Arts and Science, New York University, 726 Broadway, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10003, USA)

  • Faye Duchin

    (Department of Economics, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, 110 8th Street, Troy, NY 12180, USA)

Abstract

This paper uses the World Trade Model with Climate Sensitive Land (WTMCL) to evaluate possible future land-use changes associated with adaptations to climate change in a globalized world. In this approach, changes in regional agricultural production, which are based on comparative advantage, define patterns of land use change in agriculture in all regions of the world. We evaluate four scenarios that combine assumptions about future increases in food demand and future changes in land endowments of different productivities associated with climatic conditions: each scenario generates distinct patterns of regional specialization in the production of agricultural commodities and associated land-use change. The analysis also projects future food availability under the simulated conditions and the direction of likely changes in prices of the major agricultural commodity groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Roxana Juliá & Faye Duchin, 2013. "Land Use Change and Global Adaptations to Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(12), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:5:y:2013:i:12:p:5442-5459:d:31324
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Faye Duchin & Carlos López-Morales, 2012. "Do Water-Rich Regions Have A Comparative Advantage In Food Production? Improving The Representation Of Water For Agriculture In Economic Models," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 371-389, July.
    2. Randhir, Timothy O. & Hertel, Thomas W., 2000. "Trade Liberalization as a Vehicle for Adapting to Global Warming," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(2), pages 159-172, October.
    3. Carlos López-Morales & Faye Duchin, 2011. "Policies And Technologies For A Sustainable Use Of Water In Mexico: A Scenario Analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 387-407, September.
    4. Darwin, Roy & Tsigas, Marinos E. & Lewandrowski, Jan & Raneses, Anton, 1995. "World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations," Agricultural Economic Reports 33933, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Faye Duchin, 2005. "A world trade model based on comparative advantage with m regions, n goods, and k factors," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 141-162.
    6. Faye Duchin & Stephen H. Levine, 2011. "Sectors May Use Multiple Technologies Simultaneously: The Rectangular Choice-Of-Technology Model With Binding Factor Constraints," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 281-302, March.
    7. Madhu Khanna & Christine L. Crago, 2012. "Measuring Indirect Land Use Change with Biofuels: Implications for Policy," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 161-184, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Seung Oh & Jung, Younghun, 2018. "Efficiency of water use and its implications for a water-food nexus in the Aral Sea Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 80-90.
    2. Noelia S. Bedoya-Perales & Guilherme Pumi & Angel Mujica & Edson Talamini & Antonio Domingos Padula, 2018. "Quinoa Expansion in Peru and Its Implications for Land Use Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, February.
    3. Carlos A. L�pez-Morales & Faye Duchin, 2015. "Economic Implications Of Policy Restrictions On Water Withdrawals From Surface And Underground Sources," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 154-171, June.
    4. Bao, Junlin & Gao, Shu & Ge, Jianxiong, 2019. "Dynamic land use and its policy in response to environmental and social-economic changes in China: A case study of the Jiangsu coast (1750–2015)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 169-180.
    5. Marius Mihai Micu & Toma Adrian Dinu & Gina Fintineru & Valentina Constanta Tudor & Elena Stoian & Eduard Alexandru Dumitru & Paula Stoicea & Adina Iorga, 2022. "Climate Change—Between “Myth and Truth” in Romanian Farmers’ Perception," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.

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