IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v16y2023i8p376-d1218076.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Aggregate News Sentiment and Stock Market Returns in India

Author

Listed:
  • Sushant Chari

    (Saraswat Education Society’s Sridora Caculo College of Commerce & Management Studies, Mapusa 403507, Goa, India)

  • Purva Hegde Desai

    (Goa Business School, Goa University, Panaji 403206, Goa, India)

  • Nilesh Borde

    (Goa Business School, Goa University, Panaji 403206, Goa, India)

  • Babu George

    (School of Business, Alcorn State University, Lorman, MS 39096, USA)

Abstract

This paper contributes to the advancement of noise trader theory by examining the connection between aggregate news sentiment and stock market returns during days of significant stock market movement. In contrast to previous studies that solely focused on company-specific news sentiment, this research explores the impact of aggregate news sentiment. To draw conclusions, GARCH modeling, regression analysis, and dictionary-based sentiment analysis are employed. The findings, based on data from India, reveal that aggregate news sentiment has a short-lived influence, with notable effects stemming from the business and politics categories.

Suggested Citation

  • Sushant Chari & Purva Hegde Desai & Nilesh Borde & Babu George, 2023. "Aggregate News Sentiment and Stock Market Returns in India," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-18, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:16:y:2023:i:8:p:376-:d:1218076
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/16/8/376/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/16/8/376/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peggy M. Lee, 1997. "A comparative analysis of layoff announcements and stock price reactions in the United States and Japan," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(11), pages 879-894, December.
    2. Huina Mao & Scott Counts & Johan Bollen, 2011. "Predicting Financial Markets: Comparing Survey, News, Twitter and Search Engine Data," Papers 1112.1051, arXiv.org.
    3. Anil K Kashyap & Jeremy C. Stein, 2023. "Monetary Policy When the Central Bank Shapes Financial-Market Sentiment," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 53-76, Winter.
    4. De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990. "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-738, August.
    5. Taylan Kabbani & Fatih Enes Usta, 2022. "Predicting The Stock Trend Using News Sentiment Analysis and Technical Indicators in Spark," Papers 2201.12283, arXiv.org.
    6. Shi, Yanlin & Ho, Kin-Yip, 2021. "News sentiment and states of stock return volatility: Evidence from long memory and discrete choice models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    7. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Simon Alfano & Stefan Feuerriegel & Dirk Neumann, 2020. "Language sentiment in fundamental and noise trading: evidence from crude oil," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(49), pages 5343-5363, October.
    9. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    10. Amir Fekrazad & Syed M. Harun & Naafey Sardar, 2022. "Social media sentiment and the stock market," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(2), pages 397-419, April.
    11. Lee A. Smales, 2016. "Time-varying relationship of news sentiment, implied volatility and stock returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(51), pages 4942-4960, November.
    12. Paul C. Tetlock, 2007. "Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1139-1168, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Xiaotao & Li, Guoran & Li, Yishuo & Zou, Gaofeng & Wu, Ji George, 2023. "Which is more important in stock market forecasting: Attention or sentiment?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Ahmad, Khurshid & Han, JingGuang & Hutson, Elaine & Kearney, Colm & Liu, Sha, 2016. "Media-expressed negative tone and firm-level stock returns," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 152-172.
    3. Wang, Wenzhao & Duxbury, Darren, 2021. "Institutional investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: Global evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 415-441.
    4. Eric. W. K. See-To & Yang Yang, 2017. "Market sentiment dispersion and its effects on stock return and volatility," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 27(3), pages 283-296, August.
    5. Di, Li & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich, 2021. "The power of investor sentiment in explaining bank stock performance: Listed conventional vs. Islamic banks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Leif Brandes & Katja Rost, 2009. "Media, Limited Attention and the Propensity of Individuals to Buy Stocks," Working Papers 0098, University of Zurich, Institute for Strategy and Business Economics (ISU), revised Sep 2009.
    7. Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua & Xue, Mei & Zhang, Wei, 2017. "Daily happiness and stock returns: The case of Chinese company listed in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 496-501.
    8. Truong, Quang-Thai & Tran, Quynh-Nhu & Bakry, Walid & Nguyen, Duc Nguyen & Al-Mohamad, Somar, 2021. "Football sentiment and stock market returns: Evidence from a frontier market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Al-Nasseri, Alya & Menla Ali, Faek, 2018. "What does investors' online divergence of opinion tell us about stock returns and trading volume?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 166-178.
    10. Zhi Da & Borja Larrain & Clemens Sialm & José Tessada, 2016. "Coordinated Noise Trading: Evidence from Pension Fund Reallocations," NBER Working Papers 22161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Milo Bianchi & Philippe Jehiel, 2008. "Bubbles and crashes with partially sophisticated investors," Working Papers halshs-00586045, HAL.
    12. Sirio Aramonte, 2015. "Innovation, investor sentiment, and firm-level experimentation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-67, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Lyócsa, Štefan & Halousková, Martina & Haugom, Erik, 2023. "The US banking crisis in 2023: Intraday attention and price variation of banks at risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    14. Irresberger, Felix & Mühlnickel, Janina & Weiß, Gregor N.F., 2015. "Explaining bank stock performance with crisis sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 311-329.
    15. repec:men:wpaper:57_2015 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Rui Fan & Oleksandr Talavera & Vu Tran, 2018. "Does connection with @realDonaldTrump affect stock prices?," Working Papers 2018-07, Swansea University, School of Management.
    17. Cahill, Daniel & Wee, Marvin & Yang, Joey W., 2017. "Media sentiment and trading strategies of different types of traders," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 160-172.
    18. Tom Marty & Bruce Vanstone & Tobias Hahn, 2020. "News media analytics in finance: a survey," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(2), pages 1385-1434, June.
    19. Shen, Shulin & Xia, Le & Shuai, Yulin & Gao, Da, 2022. "Measuring news media sentiment using big data for Chinese stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Yang, Shanxiang & Liu, Zhechen & Wang, Xinjie, 2020. "News sentiment, credit spreads, and information asymmetry," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    21. Reyes, Tomas, 2018. "Limited attention and M&A announcements," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 201-222.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:16:y:2023:i:8:p:376-:d:1218076. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.