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Net Impact of COVID-19 on REIT Returns

Author

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  • Yongpei Cai

    (Department of Economics, Dalhousie University, P.O. Box 15000, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada)

  • Kuan Xu

    (Department of Economics, Dalhousie University, P.O. Box 15000, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada)

Abstract

Using an extended Fama–French model for REIT returns, we examine how the net impact of the COVID-19 pandemic differs from that of recessions. We find that, as anticipated, recessions have a negative net impact on office and residential REIT returns but that the COVID-19 pandemic has a positive net influence on industrial REIT returns because of e-commerce and the demand for storage, distribution, and shipping. Contrary to what we anticipated, there are no negative net effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on office and residential REIT returns, perhaps caused by both existing office and residential leases, the percentage rent clause for commercial properties, and the grace period for residential properties during the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast to moving solely during recessions and the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that retail REIT returns fluctuate along with ongoing macro/asset-pricing conditions throughout the boom and bust cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Yongpei Cai & Kuan Xu, 2022. "Net Impact of COVID-19 on REIT Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-32, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:8:p:359-:d:886687
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephen A. Ross, 2013. "The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 1, pages 11-30, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    3. K. C. Chan & Patric H. Hendershott & Anthony B. Sanders, 1990. "Risk and Return on Real Estate: Evidence from Equity REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 18(4), pages 431-452, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chioma Okoro & Marie Mangwi Ayaba, 2023. "Research Trends and Directions on Real Estate Investment Trusts’ Performance Risks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.

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