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The Co-Movement and Asymmetry between Energy and Grain Prices: Evidence from the Crude Oil and Corn Markets

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  • Zhan-Ming Chen

    (School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Liyuan Wang

    (School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Xiao-Bing Zhang

    (School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Xinye Zheng

    (School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

Abstract

This paper investigates the co-movement and asymmetric interactions between energy and grain prices, based on the evidence from the crude oil and corn markets, the most important energy and grain markets, respectively. Time series analysis indicates that there is a consistent trend between the crude oil price and corn price with a significant positive correlation coefficient 0.7471 during the sampling period, from January 2008 to February 2016. In addition, we find that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between the two commodities’ prices. Moreover, while linear Granger causality tests suggest that there is a two-way Granger causality relationship between the price changes in the two markets, non-linear Granger causality tests suggest that there is only a one-way causality relationship from corn to oil price. However, both linear and non-linear Granger causality tests indicate the asymmetry of causality relationship between the two markets (the price change in corn market can more significantly Granger cause the change in crude oil market). Further analysis suggests that the contribution of the corn market to price discovery in a large commodity market is larger than that of the crude oil market.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhan-Ming Chen & Liyuan Wang & Xiao-Bing Zhang & Xinye Zheng, 2019. "The Co-Movement and Asymmetry between Energy and Grain Prices: Evidence from the Crude Oil and Corn Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:7:p:1373-:d:221282
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    3. Gaoke Liao & Zhenghui Li & Ziqing Du & Yue Liu, 2019. "The Heterogeneous Interconnections between Supply or Demand Side and Oil Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.

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