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Finnish unemployment: observations and conjectures

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Author Info
Jaakko Kiander (Government Institute for Economic Research)
Jaakko Pehkonen (School of Business and Economics, University of Jyväskylä)
Abstract

In this study we analyze the factors behind the Finnish unemployment shock of the 1990s. The analysis is based on labour demand, wage-setting and current account equations that form a structural labour market model. The results of this model are compared to those obtained from a reduced form unemployment equation. We find that the both approaches yield relatively similar results. The main factor causing the dramatic increase in Finnish unemployment in the early 1990s seem to have been the real interest rate shocks of the years 1989–92. In addition to interest rates, there are other explaining variables although they are of minor importance. They include domestic supply side factors such as increased tax wedge and replacement ratio, and variables related to the economy’s external constraint. These are the terms of trade and the economy’s foreign indebtedness.

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File URL: http://www.taloustieteellinenyhdistys.fi/images/stories/fep/f1999_2d.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Finnish Economic Association in its journal Finnish Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 12 (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 (Autumn)
Pages: 94-108
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Handle: RePEc:fep:journl:v:20:y:1999:i:1:p:94-108

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Web page: http://www.taloustieteellinenyhdistys.fi
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Seppo Honkapohja & Erkki Koskela & Jouko Paunio, 1996. "The depression of the 1990s in Finland : an analytic view," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 37-54, Spring. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Erkki Koskela & Roope Uusitalo, 2003. "The Un-Intended Convergence: How the Finnish Unemployment Reached the European Level," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  2. Petri Böckerman & Markus Jäntti, 2005. "Is Variation in Hours of Work Driven by Supply or Demand? Evidence from Finnish Manufacturing Industries," Labor and Demography 0505012, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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