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Implied Market Loss Given Default in the Czech Republic: Structural-Model Approach

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Author Info
Jakub Seidler () (Czech National Bank, Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic)
Petr Jakubík () (Czech National Bank, Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic)

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Abstract

This paper focuses on the key credit risk parameter – Loss Given Default (LGD). We describe its general properties and determinants with respect to seniority of debt, characteristics of debtors and macroeconomic conditions. Furthermore, we illustrate how the LGD can be extracted from market observable information with help of the adjusted Mertonian structural approach. We present a derivation of the formula for the expected LGD and show its sensitivity with respect to other structural company parameters. Finally, we estimate the 5-year expected LGDs for companies listed on the Prague Stock Exchange and find that the average LGD for this analyzed sample is in the range of 20–45 %. To the authors’ knowledge, these are the first implied market estimates of LGD in the Czech Republic.

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File URL: http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/1150
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences in its journal Finance a uver - Czech Journal of Economics and Finance.

Volume (Year): 59 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 20-40
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Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:59:y:2009:i:1:p:20-40

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Related research
Keywords: loss given default; credit risk; structural models;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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