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Sectoral capabilities and productive structure: An input-output analysis of the key sectors of the Brazilian economy

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  • Nelson Marconi
  • Igor L. Rocha
  • Guilherme R. Magacho

Abstract

The complex relationship between production structure and economic growth has been the subject of considerable debate among Brazilian economists. This debate became especially relevant after the 2000s, when Brazil experienced a period of growth from the rise of commodity exports, which contrasted with the stagnation observed in the previous two decades. To analyse the capacity of commodity exports to generate long-term economic growth, this paper assesses this sector’s performance and its effects on related sectors in the upstream supply chain through input-output tables. These analyses lead to two main conclusions. First, expansion of agricultural and mineral commodities production exhibited little capacity to boost the economy because they have the lowest linkage indices. Second, the analysis of the Brazilian production structure demonstrated that sectors related to manufacturing can stimulate other sectors, such as sophisticated services, because of their high linkage effects on other sectors. This study also demonstrates that a development strategy should take benefit of comparative advantages in order to reach a structural change oriented toward expanding manufacturing. JEL Classification: C67; L16; O11.

Suggested Citation

  • Nelson Marconi & Igor L. Rocha & Guilherme R. Magacho, 2016. "Sectoral capabilities and productive structure: An input-output analysis of the key sectors of the Brazilian economy," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 36(3), pages 470-492.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:36:y:2016:i:3:p:470-492:id:192
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    Cited by:

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    2. Theo Santini & Ricardo Azevedo Araujo, 2021. "Productivity growth and sectoral interactions under Domar aggregation: a study for the Brazilian economy from 2000 to 2014," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    3. Florent MCISAAC & Florent Mc ISAAC, 2017. "An Input-Output Analysis: What Would a Low-Carbon Economy for Brazil Mean?," Working Paper f2f77b78-bd3b-4408-b3e9-d, Agence française de développement.
    4. Jun, Wang Ki & An, Myung Ho & Choi, Jae Young, 2022. "Impact of the connected & autonomous vehicle industry on the Korean national economy using input-output analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    5. Quddus, Md. Abdul, 2021. "Interdependence Of Industries And Key Economic Sectors Based On Linkage Indices: Emphasis On Agriculture," Bangladesh Journal of Agricultural Economics, Bangladesh Agricultural University, vol. 42(2), December.
    6. Antonioli, Davide & Berardino, Claudio Di & Onesti, Gianni, 2023. "The intersectoral linkages and manufacturing productivity growth in Italian regions using the I-O approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 120-133.
    7. Almeida, Lucas Milanez de Lima & Balanco, Paulo Antonio de Freitas, 2020. "Application of multivariate analysis as complementary instrument in studies about structural changes: An example of the multipliers in the US economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 189-207.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    manufacturing; structural change; development strategies; input-output models; backward and forward linkages;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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