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Flag choice and Port State Control inspections—Empirical evidence using a simultaneous model

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  • Fan, Lixian
  • Luo, Meifeng
  • Yin, Jinbo

Abstract

Flag choice and Port State Control (PSC) inspection are two of the most important and mutually dependent aspects of shipping policy. Estimating the effects that various outside factors have on both the flagging out decision and the PSC inspection rate can help with determining appropriate policies for improving maritime safety. However, studying the impact of one on the other without taking into account their endogenous effect could result in biased estimations. This paper integrates a binary logit model for flagging out decisions, and a linear model for explaining the PSC inspection rate, in a Three-stage Least Square framework, by combining actual ship registration data from the Lloyd׳s ship register with the corresponding PSC inspection records from Paris MOU, Tokyo MOU, and India MOU. The empirical results show that PSC inspections actually increase the possibility of flag-out, not only because of the high inspection rate, but also through the variables used in setting the inspection priority, such as ship age. Estimation biases are also identified if endogeneity is neglected, such as the contribution of ship type, ship size, and PSC inspection rate to the flag-out behavior, as well as the importance of flying a foreign flag on the PSC inspection priority.

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  • Fan, Lixian & Luo, Meifeng & Yin, Jinbo, 2014. "Flag choice and Port State Control inspections—Empirical evidence using a simultaneous model," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 350-357.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:35:y:2014:i:c:p:350-357
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2014.04.008
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    2. Yin, Jingbo & Fan, Lixian & Li, Kevin X., 2018. "Second ship registry in flag choice mechanism: The implications for China in promoting a maritime cluster policy," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 152-165.
    3. Howell, Kerry E. & Bhattacharya, Syamantak, 2016. "Functional and territorial jurisdictions: Regulating a globalized shipping industry," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 92-100.
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    5. Wenming Shi & Kevin X. Li, 2017. "Themes and tools of maritime transport research during 2000-2014," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 151-169, February.
    6. Manolis Kavussanos & Siri Pettersen Strandenes & Helen Thanopoulou, 2022. "Special issue: ends of eras and new beginnings: twenty-first century challenges for shipping," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 24(2), pages 347-367, June.
    7. Hristos Karahalios, 2021. "Contribution of PSC Authorities to Ship Accident Prevention," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-18, March.
    8. Wang, Shuaian & Yan, Ran & Qu, Xiaobo, 2019. "Development of a non-parametric classifier: Effective identification, algorithm, and applications in port state control for maritime transportation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 129-157.
    9. Xiao, Yi & Qi, Guanqiu & Jin, Mengjie & Yuen, Kum Fai & Chen, Zhuo & Li, Kevin X., 2021. "Efficiency of Port State Control inspection regimes: A comparative study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 165-172.
    10. Yan, Ran & Mo, Haoyu & Guo, Xiaomeng & Yang, Ying & Wang, Shuaian, 2022. "Is port state control influenced by the COVID-19? Evidence from inspection data," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 82-103.

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