IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/spapps/v123y2013i7p2575-2602.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measures of serial extremal dependence and their estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Davis, Richard A.
  • Mikosch, Thomas
  • Zhao, Yuwei

Abstract

The goal of this paper is two-fold: (1) We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. (2) We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series, including regular variation and max-stable processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas & Zhao, Yuwei, 2013. "Measures of serial extremal dependence and their estimation," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2575-2602.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:123:y:2013:i:7:p:2575-2602
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2013.03.014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414913000781
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.spa.2013.03.014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas, 2008. "Extreme value theory for space-time processes with heavy-tailed distributions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(4), pages 560-584, April.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    3. Kulik, Rafal & Soulier, Philippe, 2011. "The tail empirical process for long memory stochastic volatility sequences," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 109-134, January.
    4. Hsing, Tailen, 1988. "On the extreme order statistics for a stationary sequence," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 155-169.
    5. Dombry, Clément & Eyi-Minko, Frédéric, 2012. "Strong mixing properties of max-infinitely divisible random fields," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(11), pages 3790-3811.
    6. Stoev, Stilian A., 2008. "On the ergodicity and mixing of max-stable processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(9), pages 1679-1705, September.
    7. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    8. Basrak, Bojan & Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas, 2002. "Regular variation of GARCH processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 95-115, May.
    9. Basrak, Bojan & Segers, Johan, 2009. "Regularly varying multivariate time series," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(4), pages 1055-1080, April.
    10. Hsing, Tailen, 1991. "Estimating the parameters of rare events," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 117-139, February.
    11. Meinguet, Thomas & Segers, Johan, 2010. "Regularly varying time series in Banach spaces," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2010002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas & Cribben, Ivor, 2012. "Towards estimating extremal serial dependence via the bootstrapped extremogram," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 142-152.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2017. "Extreme M-quantiles as risk measures: From L1 to Lp optimization," TSE Working Papers 17-841, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    2. Pushpa Dissanayake & Teresa Flock & Johanna Meier & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "Modelling Short- and Long-Term Dependencies of Clustered High-Threshold Exceedances in Significant Wave Heights," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-33, November.
    3. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    4. Hashorva, Enkelejd, 2018. "Representations of max-stable processes via exponential tilting," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(9), pages 2952-2978.
    5. von Sachs, Rainer, 2019. "Spectral Analysis of Multivariate Time Series," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2019008, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    6. Raphaël de Fondeville & Anthony C. Davison, 2022. "Functional peaks‐over‐threshold analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(4), pages 1392-1422, September.
    7. Stefan Birr & Stanislav Volgushev & Tobias Kley & Holger Dette & Marc Hallin, 2017. "Quantile spectral analysis for locally stationary time series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(5), pages 1619-1643, November.
    8. Lin Han & Ivor Cribben & Stefan Trueck, 2022. "Extremal Dependence in Australian Electricity Markets," Papers 2202.09970, arXiv.org.
    9. Yuichi Goto & Tobias Kley & Ria Van Hecke & Stanislav Volgushev & Holger Dette & Marc Hallin, 2021. "The Integrated Copula Spectrum," Working Papers ECARES 2021-29, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    10. Mikosch, Thomas & Zhao, Yuwei, 2015. "The integrated periodogram of a dependent extremal event sequence," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 3126-3169.
    11. Todorova, Neda, 2017. "The intraday directional predictability of large Australian stocks: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 221-230.
    12. Stefan Birr & Holger Dette & Marc Hallin & Tobias Kley & Stanislav Volgushev, 2016. "On Wigner-Ville Spectra and the Unicity of Time-Varying Quantile-Based Spectral Densities," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2016-38, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    13. Y Hoga, 2018. "A structural break test for extremal dependence in β-mixing random vectors," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 105(3), pages 627-643.
    14. Heejoon Han, 2016. "Quantile Dependence between Stock Markets and its Application in Volatility Forecasting," Papers 1608.07193, arXiv.org.
    15. Segers, Johan & Zhao, Yuwei & Meinguet, Thomas, 2016. "Radial-angular decomposition of regularly varying time series in star-shaped metric spaces," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2016017, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    16. Duan, Kun & Ren, Xiaohang & Wen, Fenghua & Chen, Jinyu, 2023. "Evolution of the information transmission between Chinese and international oil markets: A quantile-based framework," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    17. Buhl, Sven & Klüppelberg, Claudia, 2018. "Limit theory for the empirical extremogram of random fields," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(6), pages 2060-2082.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Richard A. Davis & Claudia Klüppelberg & Christina Steinkohl, 2013. "Statistical inference for max-stable processes in space and time," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 75(5), pages 791-819, November.
    2. Ding, Jing & Jiang, Lei & Liu, Xiaohui & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Nonparametric tests for market timing ability using daily mutual fund returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    3. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Demmouche, Nacer & Touche, Nassim, 2018. "Bayesian MCMC analysis of periodic asymmetric power GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Zhao, Zifeng & Zhang, Zhengjun & Chen, Rong, 2018. "Modeling maxima with autoregressive conditional Fréchet model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 325-351.
    5. Chandra, S. Ajay, 2009. "Testing the equality of error distributions from k independent GARCH models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(6), pages 1245-1260, July.
    6. Zhu, Ke & Ling, Shiqing, 2013. "Global self-weighted and local quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators for ARMA-GARCH/IGARCH models," MPRA Paper 51509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2008. "Ergodicity, Mixing, And Existence Of Moments Of A Class Of Markov Models With Applications To Garch And Acd Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(5), pages 1291-1320, October.
    8. Pan, Jiazhu & Wang, Hui & Tong, Howell, 2008. "Estimation and tests for power-transformed and threshold GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 352-378, January.
    9. Peter M Robinson & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2005. "Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH(8) Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 495, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    10. Olivier Wintenberger, 2013. "Continuous Invertibility and Stable QML Estimation of the EGARCH(1,1) Model," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(4), pages 846-867, December.
    11. Inoua, Sabiou M. & Smith, Vernon L., 2023. "A classical model of speculative asset price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    12. Robinson, Peter M. & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2005. "Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation of ARCH(∞) models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 58182, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Jalal, Amine & Rockinger, Michael, 2008. "Predicting tail-related risk measures: The consequences of using GARCH filters for non-GARCH data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 868-877, December.
    14. Damek, Ewa & Mikosch, Thomas & Zhao, Yuwei & Zienkiewicz, Jacek, 2023. "Whittle estimation based on the extremal spectral density of a heavy-tailed random field," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 232-267.
    15. Todd Prono, 2016. "Closed-Form Estimation of Finite-Order ARCH Models: Asymptotic Theory and Finite-Sample Performance," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Robinson, Peter M. & Zafaroni, Paolo, 2005. "Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation of ARCH models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4544, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Sabiou M. Inoua, 2020. "News-Driven Expectations and Volatility Clustering," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, January.
    18. Saidi, Youssef & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2006. "Stationarity and geometric ergodicity of a class of nonlinear ARCH models," MPRA Paper 61988, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2006.
    19. Paul Glasserman & Qi Wu, 2017. "Persistence and Procyclicality in Margin Requirements," Working Papers 17-01, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    20. Prono Todd, 2018. "Closed-form estimators for finite-order ARCH models as simple and competitive alternatives to QMLE," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(5), pages 1-25, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:123:y:2013:i:7:p:2575-2602. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/505572/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.