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Certain effects of random taxes

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  • Hines Jr., James R.
  • Keen, Michael J.

Abstract

This paper explores the implications of tax rate randomness, identifying circumstances in which revenue-neutral rate variability increases profitability, economic activity, and the efficiency of resource allocation. Furthermore, with heterogeneous taxpayers, tax rate variability is shown to perform an efficiency-enhancing screening function, imposing heavier expected tax burdens on less responsive taxpayers. And while efficient tax randomness enables governments to reduce average costs of taxation, it necessarily increases the marginal cost of taxation over some ranges of expected revenue, so may reduce efficient levels of government spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Hines Jr., James R. & Keen, Michael J., 2021. "Certain effects of random taxes," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:203:y:2021:i:c:s0047272721000487
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104412
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tax uncertainty; Random taxes; Tax variability; Deadweight loss;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence

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