IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/proeco/v191y2017icp51-65.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

In search of intra-industry bullwhips

Author

Listed:
  • Jin, Ming
  • DeHoratius, Nicole
  • Schmidt, Glen

Abstract

Previous research (e.g., Cachon et al., 2007) has examined the prevalence and magnitude of the bullwhip effect across industries, measuring the bullwhip as the ratio of the variance in the stream of orders placed relative to the variance in orders received (in some cases surrogates are used for the order measures). Our contribution is to use the decomposition framework of Jin et al. (2016a) to look intra-industry, examining whether the bullwhip is created in shipping, manufacturing, or ordering – and exploring whether this varies across industries. Our analysis is based on monthly, industry-level U.S. Census Bureau data. We find (and begin to explain) significant differences across industries regarding the source of the bullwhip – be it in shipping, manufacturing, and/or ordering. We also examine how the bullwhip is impacted by the duration and end-point of the time aggregation interval; our results suggest that some managers may want to shift their reporting period.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin, Ming & DeHoratius, Nicole & Schmidt, Glen, 2017. "In search of intra-industry bullwhips," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 51-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:191:y:2017:i:c:p:51-65
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2017.04.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527317301366
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ijpe.2017.04.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fair, Ray C., 1989. "The production-smoothing model is alive and well," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 353-370, November.
    2. Marcos Singer & Patricio Donoso & Garo Konstantinidis, 2009. "Who wants to break the hockey-stick sales pattern in the supply chain?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 131-147, July.
    3. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    4. Robert C. Blattberg & Alan Levin, 1987. "Modelling the Effectiveness and Profitability of Trade Promotions," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 6(2), pages 124-146.
    5. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Lin, Winston T. & Suresh, Nallan C., 2016. "An empirically-simulated investigation of the impact of demand forecasting on the bullwhip effect: Evidence from U.S. auto industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 53-65.
    6. Mark E. Doms & Wendy F. Dunn & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel, 2004. "How Fast Do Personal Computers Depreciate? Concepts and New Estimates," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 18, pages 37-80, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Alan S. Blinder & Louis J. Maccini, 1991. "Taking Stock: A Critical Assessment of Recent Research on Inventories," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 5(1), pages 73-96, Winter.
    8. James R. Bradley & Bruce C. Arntzen, 1999. "The Simultaneous Planning of Production, Capacity, and Inventory in Seasonal Demand Environments," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 47(6), pages 795-806, December.
    9. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    10. Morton Klein, 1961. "On Production Smoothing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 7(3), pages 286-293, April.
    11. Zotteri, Giulio, 2013. "An empirical investigation on causes and effects of the Bullwhip-effect: Evidence from the personal care sector," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 489-498.
    12. Gérard P. Cachon & Taylor Randall & Glen M. Schmidt, 2007. "In Search of the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 457-479, April.
    13. Isaksson, Olov H.D. & Seifert, Ralf W., 2016. "Quantifying the bullwhip effect using two-echelon data: A cross-industry empirical investigation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P3), pages 311-320.
    14. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    15. Kamp, Bart, 2002. "Fiscal year-end choice: determinants and dynamics," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 421-427.
    16. Lai, Richard, 2005. "Bullwhip in a Spanish Shop," MPRA Paper 4758, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2015. "Production Smoothing and the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 17(2), pages 208-220, May.
    18. Frank Chen & Zvi Drezner & Jennifer K. Ryan & David Simchi-Levi, 2000. "Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 436-443, March.
    19. Rachel Croson & Karen Donohue, 2006. "Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect and the Observed Value of Inventory Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(3), pages 323-336, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Qian, Zhuang & Chuang, Chia-Hung & Tang, Xiao & Chou, Chia-Ching, 2023. "Examining demand and supply-chain antecedents of inventory dynamics: Evidence from automotive industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    2. Oksana Hoshovska & Zhanna Poplavska & Natalia Kryvinska & Natalia Horbal, 2020. "Considering Random Factors in Modeling Complex Microeconomic Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Oksana Hoshovska & Zhanna Poplavska & Jana Kajanova & Olena Trevoho, 2023. "Random Risk Factors Influencing Cash Flows: Modifying RADR," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    2. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio, 2019. "An empirical investigation on the antecedents of the bullwhip effect: Evidence from the spare parts industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 121-133.
    3. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    4. Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M., 2015. "On returns and network configuration in supply chain dynamics," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-167.
    5. Robert L. Bray & Yuliang Yao & Yongrui Duan & Jiazhen Huo, 2019. "Ration Gaming and the Bullwhip Effect," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 453-467, March.
    6. Li Chen & Wei Luo & Kevin Shang, 2017. "Measuring the Bullwhip Effect: Discrepancy and Alignment Between Information and Material Flows," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(1), pages 36-51, February.
    7. QU, Zhan & RAFF, Horst, 2023. "Two-part tariffs, inventory stockpiling, and the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 201-214.
    8. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    9. Zhu, Tianyuan & Balakrishnan, Jaydeep & da Silveira, Giovani J.C., 2020. "Bullwhip effect in the oil and gas supply chain: A multiple-case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    10. Isaksson, Olov H.D. & Seifert, Ralf W., 2016. "Quantifying the bullwhip effect using two-echelon data: A cross-industry empirical investigation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P3), pages 311-320.
    11. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2015. "Production Smoothing and the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 17(2), pages 208-220, May.
    12. Fransoo, Jan C. & Udenio, Maximiliano, 2021. "The bullwhip effect," Other publications TiSEM 382aec81-b3b0-4696-bf00-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Ojha, Divesh & Sahin, Funda & Shockley, Jeff & Sridharan, Sri V., 2019. "Is there a performance tradeoff in managing order fulfillment and the bullwhip effect in supply chains? The role of information sharing and information type," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 529-543.
    14. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    15. Zotteri, Giulio, 2013. "An empirical investigation on causes and effects of the Bullwhip-effect: Evidence from the personal care sector," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 489-498.
    16. Minner, Stefan & Transchel, Sandra, 2017. "Order variability in perishable product supply chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(1), pages 93-107.
    17. Nikolay Osadchiy & William Schmidt & Jing Wu, 2021. "The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(10), pages 6153-6173, October.
    18. Udenio, Maximiliano & Fransoo, Jan C. & Peels, Robert, 2015. "Destocking, the bullwhip effect, and the credit crisis: Empirical modeling of supply chain dynamics," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 34-46.
    19. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Lin, Winston T. & Suresh, Nallan C., 2016. "An empirically-simulated investigation of the impact of demand forecasting on the bullwhip effect: Evidence from U.S. auto industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 53-65.
    20. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:191:y:2017:i:c:p:51-65. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijpe .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.