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Best practices in demand forecasting: Tests of universalistic, contingency and configurational theories

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  • Kalchschmidt, Matteo

Abstract

The paper focuses on best practices in demand forecasting. Literature has addressed the best practice concept under three different perspectives. According to the universalistic perspective, some forecasting practices are universally effective regardless of the context in which companies operate. In the contingent perspective, the effectiveness of forecasting practices depends on the specific kind of context each company faces. A third perspective is the configurational one, which asserts that there are synergistic effects among best practices. In this work, we compare these different perspectives by designing and testing different sets of propositions that underline the aforementioned perspectives. Analysis is conducted by collecting data of more than 500 companies in different countries via the 4th edition of the Global Manufacturing Research Group (GMRG IV) questionnaire. The results demonstrate that each perspective has some empirical support.

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  • Kalchschmidt, Matteo, 2012. "Best practices in demand forecasting: Tests of universalistic, contingency and configurational theories," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 782-793.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:140:y:2012:i:2:p:782-793
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.02.022
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    2. Escrig, Ana B. & de Menezes, Lilian M., 2015. "What characterizes leading companies within business excellence models? An analysis of “EFQM Recognized for Excellence” recipients in Spain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 362-375.
    3. Zhang, Jiayuan & Yalcin, Mehmet G. & Hales, Douglas N., 2021. "Elements of paradoxes in supply chain management literature: A systematic literature review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    4. Christos Bialas & Dimitrios Bechtsis & Eirini Aivazidou & Charisios Achillas & Dimitrios Aidonis, 2023. "A Holistic View on the Adoption and Cost-Effectiveness of Technology-Driven Supply Chain Management Practices in Healthcare," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-22, March.
    5. Golini, Ruggero & Kalchschmidt, Matteo, 2015. "Managing inventories in global sourcing contexts: A contingency perspective," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 64-78.
    6. Tian, Meng & Chen, Yang & Tian, Guanghao & Huang, Wei & Hu, Chuan, 2023. "The role of digital transformation practices in the operations improvement in manufacturing firms: A practice-based view," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).

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