IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v503y2018icp1117-1130.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time on market (TOM): The impact of new residential stamp duty

Author

Listed:
  • Liang, Cong
  • Hui, Eddie C.M.
  • Yip, Tsz Leung

Abstract

This paper is the pioneer research considering impacts of new residential stamp duty on TOM. This paper covers space and time information of property transaction via spatial–temporal model, which overcomes the deficits of previous studies by only capturing temporal information. A spatial model selection scheme is adopted in this paper which largely reduces the subjective model selection bias. The results of this paper enable to test and support the important housing theory: when the new residential stamp duty is executed, buyers’ options are limited then TOM is reduced. The reduced TOM implied that buyers intend to suffer high transaction tax of the property on the condition that new residential stamp duty is enforced. They believe that performance of property asset still outperforms the other investment vehicles in Hong Kong. The results of this paper provide valuable information on policy making.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang, Cong & Hui, Eddie C.M. & Yip, Tsz Leung, 2018. "Time on market (TOM): The impact of new residential stamp duty," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1117-1130.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:503:y:2018:i:c:p:1117-1130
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.126
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118310690
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.126?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Han Bin Kang & Mona J. Gardner, 1989. "Selling Price and Marketing Time in the Residential Real Estate Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 4(1), pages 21-35.
    2. Eric J. Levin & Gwilym B. J. Pryce, 2007. "A Statistical Explanation for Extreme Bids in the House Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 44(12), pages 2339-2355, November.
    3. Eddie C.M. Hui & Joe T.Y. Wong & K.T. Wong, 2012. "Marketing Time and Pricing Strategies," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 34(3), pages 375-398.
    4. Gu, Huaying & Liu, Zhixue & Weng, Yingliang, 2017. "Time-varying correlations in global real estate markets: A multivariate GARCH with spatial effects approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 460-472.
    5. Wojciech Kopczuk & David Munroe, 2015. "Mansion Tax: The Effect of Transfer Taxes on the Residential Real Estate Market," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 7(2), pages 214-257, May.
    6. Mr. R. S Craig & Mr. Changchun Hua, 2011. "Determinants of Property Prices in Hong Kong SAR: Implications for Policy," IMF Working Papers 2011/277, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Kelejian, Harry H. & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2010. "Specification and estimation of spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 53-67, July.
    8. Anglin, Paul M & Rutherford, Ronald & Springer, Thomas M, 2003. "The Trade-Off Between the Selling Price of Residential Properties and Time-on-the-Market: The Impact of Price Setting," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 95-111, January.
    9. James LeSage & Yuxue Sheng, 2014. "A spatial econometric panel data examination of endogenous versus exogenous interaction in Chinese province-level patenting," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 233-262, July.
    10. Fred A. Forgey & Ronald C. Rutherford & Thomas M. Springer, 1996. "Search and Liquidity in Single‐Family Housing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 24(3), pages 273-292, September.
    11. Stanley McGreal & Alastair Adair & Louise Brown & James R. Webb, 2009. "Pricing and Time on the Market for Residential Properties in a Major U.K. City," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 31(2), pages 209-234.
    12. J. Paul Elhorst, 2014. "Spatial Panel Data Models," SpringerBriefs in Regional Science, in: Spatial Econometrics, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 37-93, Springer.
    13. Ferreira, Eurico J & Sirmans, G Stacy, 1989. "Selling Price, Financing Premiums, and Days on the Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 209-222, September.
    14. Merlo, Antonio & Ortalo-Magne, Francois, 2004. "Bargaining over residential real estate: evidence from England," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 192-216, September.
    15. Chi-Chur Chao & Eden Yu, 2015. "Housing Markets with Foreign Buyers," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 207-218, February.
    16. Charlie Karlsson & Martin Andersson & Therese Norman (ed.), 2015. "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Economic Geography," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14395.
    17. Seow Eng Ong & Yen Ching Koh, 2000. "Time On-market and Price Trade-offs in High-rise Housing Sub-markets," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(11), pages 2057-2071, October.
    18. Abdullah Yavas & Shiawee Yang, 1995. "The Strategic Role of Listing Price in Marketing Real Estate: Theory and Evidence," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 23(3), pages 347-368, September.
    19. Jean Dub� & Di�go Legros, 2014. "Spatial econometrics and the hedonic pricing model: what about the temporal dimension?," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 333-359, December.
    20. Francisco J. Delgado & Santiago Lago-Peñas & Matías Mayor, 2015. "On The Determinants Of Local Tax Rates: New Evidence From Spain," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(2), pages 351-368, April.
    21. repec:elg:eechap:14395_1 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Chung-Yi Tse, 2012. "Flippers in Housing Market Search," 2012 Meeting Papers 434, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Catherine Tucker & Juanjuan Zhang & Ting Zhu, 2013. "Days on market and home sales," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 44(2), pages 337-360, June.
    24. Victor Mendes & Andrea Amaral & Margarida Abreu, 2014. "The Spatial Probit Model – An Application to the Study of Banking Crises at the End of the 90’s," EcoMod2014 6623, EcoMod.
    25. Peyman Khezr, 2015. "Time on the market and price change: the case of Sydney housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 485-498, January.
    26. Rajiv Kalra & Kam C. Chan, 1994. "Censored Sample Bias, Macroeconomic Factors, and Time on Market of Residential Housing," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(2), pages 253-262.
    27. Asabere, Paul K & Huffman, Forrest E, 1993. "Price Concessions, Time on the Market, and the Actual Sale Price of Homes," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 167-174, March.
    28. Maarten Allers & J. Elhorst, 2005. "Tax Mimicking and Yardstick Competition Among Local Governments in the Netherlands," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 12(4), pages 493-513, August.
    29. Norman G. Miller, 1978. "Time on the Market and Selling Price," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 6(2), pages 164-174, June.
    30. Amaral, Andrea & Abreu, Margarida & Mendes, Victor, 2014. "The spatial Probit model—An application to the study of banking crises at the end of the 1990’s," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 251-260.
    31. Curtis R. Taylor, 1999. "Time-on-the-Market as a Sign of Quality," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 66(3), pages 555-578.
    32. Corinne Autant‐Bernard & James P. LeSage, 2011. "Quantifying Knowledge Spillovers Using Spatial Econometric Models," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(3), pages 471-496, August.
    33. Joshua D. Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke, 2014. "Mastering ’Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10363.
    34. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Youngman Chun Fai Leong & Ida Yin Sze Chan, 2002. "TOM: Why Isn’t Price Enough?," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 91-115.
    35. Donald Haurin, 1988. "The Duration of Marketing Time of Residential Housing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 16(4), pages 396-410, December.
    36. Paul K. Asabere & Forrest E. Huffman & Seyed Mehdian, 1993. "Mispricing and Optimal Time on the Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(1), pages 149-155.
    37. James E. Larsen & Won J. Park, 1989. "Non‐Uniform Percentage Brokerage Commissions and Real Estate Market Performance," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 17(4), pages 422-438, December.
    38. J. Elhorst, 2010. "Applied Spatial Econometrics: Raising the Bar," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-28.
    39. John R. Knight, 2002. "Listing Price, Time on Market, and Ultimate Selling Price: Causes and Effects of Listing Price Changes," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 30(2), pages 213-237.
    40. Corinne Autant-Bernard & James Lesage, 2011. "Quantifying knowledge spillovers using spatial econometric tools," Post-Print halshs-00617709, HAL.
    41. Luc Anselin & Harry H. Kelejian, 1997. "Testing for Spatial Error Autocorrelation in the Presence of Endogenous Regressors," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 20(1-2), pages 153-182, April.
    42. Stanley McGreal & Paloma Taltavull de La Paz & Valerie Kupke & Peter Rossini & Paul Kershaw, 2016. "Measuring the influence of space and time effects on time on the market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(13), pages 2867-2884, October.
    43. Zuehlke, Thomas W, 1987. "Duration Dependence in the Housing Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(4), pages 701-704, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yaoxuan Huang & Tsz Leung Yip & Cong Liang, 2020. "Risk Perception and Property Value: Evidence from Tianjin Port Explosion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Liang, Cong & Hui, Eddie C.M. & Yip, Tsz Leung & Huang, Yaoxuan, 2020. "Private land use for public housing projects: The Influence of a Government Announcement on Housing Markets in Hong Kong," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liang, Cong & Hui, Eddie C.M. & Yip, Tsz Leung & Huang, Yaoxuan, 2020. "Private land use for public housing projects: The Influence of a Government Announcement on Housing Markets in Hong Kong," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    2. David Koch & Gunther Maier, 2015. "The influence of estate agencies’ location and time on Internet," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 35(2), pages 147-171, October.
    3. Bich Hong Nguyen Thi & Trong Hoai Nguyen & Thanh Hiep Truong, 2020. "The Role of Listing Price Strategies on the Probability of Selling a House: Evidence from Vietnam," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(2), pages 63-75, June.
    4. Stanley McGreal & Paloma Taltavull de La Paz & Valerie Kupke & Peter Rossini & Paul Kershaw, 2016. "Measuring the influence of space and time effects on time on the market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(13), pages 2867-2884, October.
    5. John D. Benjamin & G. Donald Jud & G. Stacy Sirmans, 2000. "What Do We Know About Real Estate Brokerage?," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 20(1), pages 5-30.
    6. Velma Zahirovic-Herbert & Geoffrey Turnbull, 2008. "School Quality, House Prices and Liquidity," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 113-130, August.
    7. Kimberly Goodwin & Ken Johnson & Leonard Zumpano, 2012. "Minimum Service Requirements, Limited Brokers and Menuing of Services," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 471-490, August.
    8. John D. Benjamin & G. Donald Jud & G. Stacy Sirmans, 2000. "Real Estate Brokerage and the Hosting Market: An Annotated Bibliography," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 20(1), pages 217-278.
    9. G. Donald Jud & Terry G. Seaks & Daniel T. Winkler, 1996. "Time on the Market: The Impact of Residential Brokerage," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 12(3), pages 447-458.
    10. Antonio Merlo & François Ortalo‐Magné & John Rust, 2015. "The Home Selling Problem: Theory And Evidence," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(2), pages 457-484, May.
    11. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Youngman Chun Fai Leong & Ida Yin Sze Chan, 2002. "TOM: Why Isn’t Price Enough?," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 91-115.
    12. Han, Lu & Strange, William C., 2015. "The Microstructure of Housing Markets," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 813-886, Elsevier.
    13. Seow Eng Ong & Yen Ching Koh, 2000. "Time On-market and Price Trade-offs in High-rise Housing Sub-markets," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(11), pages 2057-2071, October.
    14. Gwilym Pryce, 2011. "Bidding Conventions and the Degree of Overpricing in the Market for Houses," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(4), pages 765-791, March.
    15. Stanley McGreal & Alastair Adair & Louise Brown & James R. Webb, 2009. "Pricing and Time on the Market for Residential Properties in a Major U.K. City," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 31(2), pages 209-234.
    16. Justin Benefield & Ronald Rutherford & Marcus Allen, 2012. "The Effects of Estate Sales of Residential Real Estate on Price and Marketing Time," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 965-981, November.
    17. Terrence Clauretie & Paul Thistle, 2007. "The Effect of Time-on-Market and Location on Search Costs and Anchoring: The Case of Single-Family Properties," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 181-196, August.
    18. Marcus Allen & Sheri Faircloth & Ronald Rutherford, 2005. "The Impact of Range Pricing on Marketing Time and Transaction Price: A Better Mousetrap for the Existing Home Market?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 71-82, August.
    19. Kenneth Soyeh & Jonathan Wiley & Ken Johnson, 2014. "Do Buyer Incentives Work for Houses during a Real Estate Downturn?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 380-396, February.
    20. Anglin, Paul M & Rutherford, Ronald & Springer, Thomas M, 2003. "The Trade-Off Between the Selling Price of Residential Properties and Time-on-the-Market: The Impact of Price Setting," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 95-111, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:503:y:2018:i:c:p:1117-1130. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.