Statistical properties of agent-based models in markets with continuous double auction mechanism
AbstractReal world markets display power-law features in variables such as price fluctuations in stocks. To further understand market behavior, we have conducted a series of market experiments on our web-based prediction market platform which allows us to reconstruct transaction networks among traders. From these networks, we are able to record the degree of a trader, the size of a community of traders, the transaction time interval among traders and other variables that are of interest. The distributions of all these variables show power-law behavior. On the other hand, agent-based models have been proposed to study the properties of real financial markets. We here study the statistical properties of these agent-based models and compare them with the results from our web-based market experiments. In this work, three agent-based models are studied, namely, zero-intelligence (ZI), zero-intelligence-plus (ZIP) and Gjerstad–Dickhaut (GD). Computer simulations of variables based on these three agent-based models were carried out. We found that although being the most naive agent-based model, ZI indeed best describes the properties observed in real markets. Our study suggests that the basic ingredient to produce the observed properties from real world markets could in fact be the result of a continuously evolving dynamical system with basic features similar to the ZI model.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications.
Volume (Year): 389 (2010)
Issue (Month): 8 ()
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/
Econophysics; Financial stylized facts; Agent-based simulation; Complex networks; Continuous double action;
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- S. C. Wang & J. J. Tseng & C. C. Tai & K. H. Lai & W. S. Wu & S. H. Chen & S. P. Li, 2007.
"Network Topology of an Experimental Futures Exchange,"
- S. C. Wang & J. J. Tseng & C. C. Tai & K. H. Lai & W. S. Wu & S. H. Chen & S. P. Li, 2008. "Network topology of an experimental futures exchange," The European Physical Journal B - Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 105-111, 03.
- Gjerstad, S. & Dickhaut, J., 1995.
"Price Formation in Double Auctions,"
284, Minnesota - Center for Economic Research.
- Vernon L. Smith, 1962.
"An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior,"
Journal of Political Economy,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 70, pages 111.
- Vernon L. Smith, 1962. "An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70, pages 322.
- Luca Berardi & Maurizio Serva, 2005. "Time and foreign exchange markets," Papers physics/0504100, arXiv.org.
- Jie-Jun Tseng & Sai-Ping Li & Sun-Chong Wang, 2010. "Experimental evidence for the interplay between individual wealth and transaction network," Papers 1001.3731, arXiv.org.
- Scheinkman, Jose A & Woodford, Michael, 1994. "Self-Organized Criticality and Economic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(2), pages 417-21, May.
- Sun-Chong Wang & Sai-Ping Li & Chung-Ching Tai & Shu-Heng Che, 2009. "Statistical properties of an experimental political futures market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 9-16.
- Berardi, Luca & Serva, Maurizio, 2005. "Time and foreign exchange markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 403-412.
- Smith, Vernon L, 1976. "Experimental Economics: Induced Value Theory," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 66(2), pages 274-79, May.
- Gode, Dhananjay K & Sunder, Shyam, 1993. "Allocative Efficiency of Markets with Zero-Intelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(1), pages 119-37, February.
- Hegemann, Rachel A. & Smith, Laura M. & Barbaro, Alethea B.T. & Bertozzi, Andrea L. & Reid, Shannon E. & Tita, George E., 2011. "Geographical influences of an emerging network of gang rivalries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3894-3914.
- Ming-Xia Li & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wen-Jie Xie & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2013. "Unveiling correlations between financial variables and topological metrics of trading networks: Evidence from a stock and its warrant," Papers 1308.0925, arXiv.org.
- Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Complex stock trading network among investors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4929-4941.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wendy Shamier).
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.