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Volume shocks and stock returns: An alternative test

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  • Zhong, Angel
  • Chai, Daniel
  • Li, Bob
  • Chiah, Mardy

Abstract

Using an alternative measure for abnormal trading volume, this article examines the role of volume shock in the generation of stock returns. We find a strong high volume effect at both portfolio and individual stock levels. A strategy that buys stocks experiencing high volume shocks and sells stocks experiencing low volume shocks generates positive returns up to 12 months after formation. The effect is robust after controlling for other stock characteristics that are known to affect stock returns. Our results show that trading volume becomes relatively higher after high volume shocks. Moreover, the relation between volume shocks and stock returns is stronger for stocks that previously failed to catch investors' attention. This finding is consistent with the view that abnormal trading volume proxies for unobserved attention-grabbing events. However, we find no evidence that volume shocks are priced.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhong, Angel & Chai, Daniel & Li, Bob & Chiah, Mardy, 2018. "Volume shocks and stock returns: An alternative test," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:48:y:2018:i:c:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2018.01.001
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    Cited by:

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    3. Luo, Dan & Mao, Yipeng, 2021. "Fundamental volatility and informative trading volume in a rational expectations equilibrium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    4. Philip Gray & Angel Zhong, 2022. "Assessing the usefulness of daily and monthly asset‐pricing factors for Australian equities," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(1), pages 181-211, March.
    5. Ang, Tze Chuan 'Chewie' & Azad, A.S.M. Sohel & Pham, Thu A.T. & Zhong, Angel, 2021. "Firm efficiency and stock returns: Australian evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Zhang, Xinyue & Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Zhong, Angel, 2023. "Investor sentiment and stock market anomalies in Australia," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 284-303.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trading volume; Volume shocks; Asset pricing; Attention;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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