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Market dynamics and momentum in the Taiwan stock market

Author

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  • Lin, Chaonan
  • Ko, Kuan-Cheng
  • Feng, Zhi-Xiang
  • Yang, Nien-Tzu

Abstract

Prior literature widely documents that the Taiwan stock market exhibits no momentum premium. We attribute this phenomenon to the frequent transitions of the market and hypothesize that the momentum strategy can be profitable when the effect of market dynamics is taken into consideration. Confirming this notion, we document significantly positive momentum profits in Taiwan when the market continues in the same state. The momentum strategy during periods of market transitions, however, exhibits significant reversals. We provide evidence in support of the overconfidence hypothesis in explaining our findings by showing that the significantly positive momentum profit is concentrated in stocks that attract more investor attention. Further investigations show that our results are robust to the inclusion of several conditioning variables, suggesting the uniqueness and importance of market dynamics in momentum investing in Taiwan.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin, Chaonan & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Feng, Zhi-Xiang & Yang, Nien-Tzu, 2016. "Market dynamics and momentum in the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 59-75.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:38:y:2016:i:c:p:59-75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.03.009
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    Cited by:

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    2. Chen, Hong-Yi & Yang, Sharon S., 2020. "Do Investors exaggerate corporate ESG information? Evidence of the ESG momentum effect in the Taiwanese market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Wei, An-Pin & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2020. "Funding liquidity risk and the low-volatility anomaly: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Bob Li & Mong Shan Ee & Mamunur Rashid, 2016. "Is momentum trading profitable from Shari'ah compliant stocks?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 56-63, November.
    5. Lin, Chaonan & Xia, Chuanxin & Yang, Nien-Tzu & Yang, Sheng-Yung, 2020. "Enhancing momentum profits in the Taiwan Stock Market: The role of extreme absolute strength," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Mehdi Zolfaghari & Bahram Sahabi, 2021. "The impact of oil price and exchange rate on momentum strategy profits in stock market: evidence from oil-rich developing countries," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 15(7), pages 1981-2023, October.
    7. Li, Bob & Ee, Mong Shan & Rashid, Mamunur, 2016. "Is momentum trading profitable from Shari'ah compliant stocks?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 56-63.
    8. Tsai, Li-Chuan & Zhang, Ruhui & Zhao, Cuifang, 2020. "Can international supply chain induce a return premium? Evidence from U.S. leading high-technology firms and Taiwan stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    9. Gao, Ya & Guo, Bin & Xiong, Xiong, 2021. "Signed momentum in the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Lin, Chaonan & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Yang, Nien-Tzu, 2022. "Does the momentum gap explain momentum in Taiwan?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Yang, Nien-Tzu & Chu, Hsiang-Hui & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Lee, Shiou-Wen, 2018. "Continuing overreaction and momentum in a market with price limits," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 56-71.
    12. Xiaoyue Chen & Bin Li & Andrew C. Worthington, 2022. "Realised volatility and industry momentum returns," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Hsiao-Peng Fu & Shu-Fan Hsieh, 2024. "Seasonality, Monetary Supply and Taiwanese Momentum," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 14(2), pages 1-2.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market dynamics; Momentum profits; Investor overconfidence; Taiwan stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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