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Business cycle fluctuations in Taiwan — A Bayesian DSGE analysis

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  • Lin, Yi Chun

Abstract

This paper examines the Taiwanese economy in a small open economy DSGE model using Bayesian estimation. The model consists of two countries and 12 exogenous shocks with stochastic volatility to capture the fluctuations in the business cycle. The main results are: (1) shock innovations with stochastic volatility increase the model fit, (2) shocks originated from outside the country are important sources of fluctuations in the Taiwanese business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin, Yi Chun, 2021. "Business cycle fluctuations in Taiwan — A Bayesian DSGE analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:70:y:2021:i:c:s0164070421000513
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103349
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle; Bayesian analysis; DSGE models; Small open economy models; Stochastic volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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