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Understanding the dynamic effects of government spending on foreign trade

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Author Info
Müller, Gernot J.
Abstract

Using Vector Autoregressions on U.S. time series, the present paper documents the effects of fiscal policy on foreign trade: an increase in government spending significantly depreciates the nominal exchange rate, appreciates the terms of trade and increases net exports. Exposed to the same spending shock, a New Keynesian general equilibrium model is shown to match qualitatively the response of relative prices. The response of net exports, in contrast, depends on the intra- and intertemporal elasticities of substitution and the degree of home bias in private spending. An accommodating monetary policy dampens, but does not alter the response of net exports.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V9S-4RSJDMY-1/1/d7b54368c73475017aec3be1500206ae
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Money and Finance.

Volume (Year): 27 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (April)
Pages: 345-371
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Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:345-371

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30443

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  1. Zeno Enders & Gernot J. Müller & Almut Scholl, 2008. "How do Fiscal and Technology Shocks affect Real Exchange Rates? New Evidence for the United States," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/22, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-8-10.


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