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The potential impact of High Speed Rail development on Australian aviation

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  • Bukovac, Sergej
  • Douglas, Ian

Abstract

Air traffic on the Australian eastern seaboard grows between 2 and 3% annually. Airport development and fleet orders by Australian airlines suggest that demand for long distance transportation will outstrip the most constrained airports in the mid-2020s. Government and private studies have addressed High Speed Rail (HSR) in Australia over the last 30 years. None has progressed beyond the concept stage. With no commitment to build HSR in Australia, domestic airlines have not defined a competitive response. Airport congestion emissions limits emerging in the Australian market may change that position. The market share split and market size for rail and air are estimated for the east coast market by testing likely travel times against international experience.

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  • Bukovac, Sergej & Douglas, Ian, 2019. "The potential impact of High Speed Rail development on Australian aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 164-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:78:y:2019:i:c:p:164-174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2019.01.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yixiao & Sun, Luoyi & Teunter, Ruud H. & Wu, Jianhong & Hua, Guowei, 2020. "Effects of introducing low-cost high-speed rail on air-rail competition: Modelling and numerical analysis for Paris-Marseille," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 145-162.
    2. Mohsen Momenitabar & Zhila Dehdari Ebrahimi & Mohammad Arani, 2020. "A Systematic and Analytical Review of the Socioeconomic and Environmental Impact of the Deployed High-Speed Rail (HSR) Systems on the World," Papers 2003.04452, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    3. Mohsen Momenitabar & Raj Bridgelall & Zhila Dehdari Ebrahimi & Mohammad Arani, 2021. "Literature Review of Socioeconomic and Environmental Impacts of High-Speed Rail in the World," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-27, November.
    4. Asep Yayat Nurhidayat & Hera Widyastuti & Sutikno & Dwi Phalita Upahita, 2023. "Research on Passengers’ Preferences and Impact of High-Speed Rail on Air Transport Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-26, February.

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