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An accounting-based asset pricing model and a fundamental factor

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  • Penman, Stephen
  • Zhu, Julie

Abstract

This paper recasts the consumption asset pricing model in terms of accounting numbers that connect to consumption and the risk to consumption under accounting principles. The modeling yields an expected return measure that forecasts realized returns and the risk to those returns. It leads to the construction of a pricing factor from the accounting information. The factor performs well relative to extant factors in explaining cross-sectional returns. The factor return has negative correlation with the market portfolio and exhibits the property of protecting payoffs in bad states when consumption is low. This then prompts a two-factor representation that combines the market portfolio with a hedge portfolio against loss to consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Penman, Stephen & Zhu, Julie, 2022. "An accounting-based asset pricing model and a fundamental factor," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:73:y:2022:i:2:s0165410121000914
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2021.101476
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhimin (Jimmy) Yu, 2023. "Cross-Section of Returns, Predictors Credibility, and Method Issues," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-12, January.
    2. Zihang Peng, 2023. "Do risk exposures explain accounting anomalies? A new testing method," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(3), pages 2965-2983, September.
    3. Stephen Penman & Julie Zhu & Haofei Wang, 2023. "The implied cost of capital: accounting for growth," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1029-1056, October.

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