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The cost of deviating from the optimal monetary policy: A panel VAR analysis

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  • Guerello, Chiara

Abstract

Exploiting the panel VAR GMM estimator's features, macroeconomic country factors are combined with micro-economic bank data to test for the risk taking channel in the Euro Area. According to prior expectations based on an extended DSGE model, the analysis demonstrates that the monetary policy incentives bank risk taking by increasing the bank leverage, but it is not able to influence the level of credit risk. However, deeper investigations indicates the Taylor gap adds to the bank risk appetite in all its forms, while regarding the reactions to target variables, movements in the interest rate smooth the bank risk.

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  • Guerello, Chiara, 2014. "The cost of deviating from the optimal monetary policy: A panel VAR analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 210-229.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:15:y:2014:i:c:p:210-229
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2014.10.004
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk taking channel; Taylor gap; Monetary policy; Credit risk; Panel VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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