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Profitability of shale gas drilling: A case study of the Fayetteville shale play

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  • Ikonnikova, Svetlana
  • Gülen, Gürcan
  • Browning, John
  • Tinker, Scott W.

Abstract

Discussion on shale gas production sustainability raises the question of shale gas well profitability. The study presents a well economics model incorporating key geologic and production features of shale gas. The model is used to demonstrate analytically how profitability of a well may change depending on completion and local geology. We show how wells with the same expected production may have different profitability and, vice versa, how wells with different production profiles may appear to be equally attractive.

Suggested Citation

  • Ikonnikova, Svetlana & Gülen, Gürcan & Browning, John & Tinker, Scott W., 2015. "Profitability of shale gas drilling: A case study of the Fayetteville shale play," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 382-393.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:81:y:2015:i:c:p:382-393
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2014.12.051
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gülen, Gürcan & Browning, John & Ikonnikova, Svetlana & Tinker, Scott W., 2013. "Well economics across ten tiers in low and high Btu (British thermal unit) areas, Barnett Shale, Texas," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 302-315.
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    6. repec:aen:journl:eeep4_1_ikonnikova is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

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    2. Saussay, Aurélien, 2018. "Can the US shale revolution be duplicated in continental Europe? An economic analysis of European shale gas resources," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 295-306.
    3. Svetlana Ikonnikova and Gürcan Gülen, 2015. "Impact of low prices on shale gas production strategies," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Adelman S).
    4. Bård Misund & Petter Osmundsen, 2015. "Probable Oil and Gas Reserves and Shareholder Returns: The Impact of Shale Gas," CESifo Working Paper Series 5687, CESifo.
    5. Yang, Xianyu & Chen, Shuya & Shi, Yanping & Feng, Ruimin & Cai, Jihua & Jiang, Guosheng, 2019. "CFD and DEM modelling of particles plugging in shale pores," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 1026-1038.
    6. Lu, Yiyu & Chen, Xiayu & Tang, Jiren & Li, Honglian & Zhou, Lei & Han, Shuaibin & Ge, Zhaolong & Xia, Binwei & Shen, Huajian & Zhang, Jing, 2019. "Relationship between pore structure and mechanical properties of shale on supercritical carbon dioxide saturation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 270-285.
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    8. Yang, Xianyu & Cai, Jihua & Jiang, Guosheng & Zhang, Yungen & Shi, Yanping & Chen, Shuya & Yue, Ye & Wei, Zhaohui & Yin, Dezhan & Li, Hua, 2022. "Modeling of nanoparticle fluid microscopic plugging effect on horizontal and vertical wellbore of shale gas," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
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    10. Bård Misund & Petter Osmundsen, 2017. "Valuation of proved vs. probable oil and gas reserves," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1385443-138, January.
    11. Hong, Bingyuan & Li, Xiaoping & Song, Shangfei & Chen, Shilin & Zhao, Changlong & Gong, Jing, 2020. "Optimal planning and modular infrastructure dynamic allocation for shale gas production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    12. Muhammad Ahmed & Sina Rezaei-Gomari, 2018. "Economic Feasibility Analysis of Shale Gas Extraction from UK’s Carboniferous Bowland-Hodder Shale Unit," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Jiang, Yongdong & Luo, Yahuang & Lu, Yiyu & Qin, Chao & Liu, Hui, 2016. "Effects of supercritical CO2 treatment time, pressure, and temperature on microstructure of shale," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 173-181.
    14. Tunstall, Thomas, 2015. "Iterative Bass Model forecasts for unconventional oil production in the Eagle Ford Shale," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P1), pages 580-588.
    15. Montgomery, J.B. & O’Sullivan, F.M., 2017. "Spatial variability of tight oil well productivity and the impact of technology," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 344-355.
    16. Tan, Siah Hong & Barton, Paul I., 2015. "Optimal dynamic allocation of mobile plants to monetize associated or stranded natural gas, part I: Bakken shale play case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1581-1594.
    17. Yang, Xianyu & Cai, Jihua & Jiang, Guosheng & Xie, Jingyu & Shi, Yanping & Chen, Shuya & Yue, Ye & Yu, Lang & He, Yichao & Xie, Kunzhi, 2020. "Nanoparticle plugging prediction of shale pores: A numerical and experimental study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).

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