IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v202y2020ics0360544220308847.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of cross-quantile dependence and causality between non-ferrous metals and clean energy indexes

Author

Listed:
  • Yahya, Muhammad
  • Ghosh, Sajal
  • Kanjilal, Kakali
  • Dutta, Anupam
  • Uddin, Gazi Salah

Abstract

This paper analyzes the cross-quantile dependence and causality between non-ferrous metals and clean energy indices by employing data from November 2003 to May 2019. Specifically, we utilize the time-varying copulas to examine the asymmetric connectedness among the assets. Based on the assessed dependence, we utilize the time-static and time-varying cross-quantilogram approach to evaluate the asymmetric dependence across different quantiles. Finally, we employ a Granger-causality in quantiles analysis to assess the causal relationship across different quantiles of the return distributions of the underlying assets. By utilizing time-varying copulas, we report that the conditional dependence between the assets is time-varying and asymmetric with the potential for tail dependence. Our results from the cross-quantilogram analysis provide further evidence that the interconnectedness is asymmetric across quantiles, and it increases with the increase in lags. In addition, we report that extreme market conditions positively influence the dependence structure. Finally, our findings from Granger-causality in quantiles indicate bidirectional causality among assets that intensifies with the increase in lag order. These findings are important for governmental policies that aim at mitigating the impact of climate change by transforming the global energy landscape towards clean and renewable energy sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Yahya, Muhammad & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali & Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Evaluation of cross-quantile dependence and causality between non-ferrous metals and clean energy indexes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:202:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220308847
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117777
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544220308847
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2020.117777?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ben Jacobsen & Ben R. Marshall & Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, 2019. "Stock Market Predictability and Industrial Metal Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(7), pages 3026-3042, July.
    2. Elie, Bouri & Naji, Jalkh & Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2019. "Gold and crude oil as safe-haven assets for clean energy stock indices: Blended copulas approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 544-553.
    3. Urom, Christian & Anochiwa, Lasbrey & Yuni, Denis & Idume, Gabriel, 2019. "Asymmetric linkages among precious metals, global equity and bond yields: The role of volatility and business cycle factors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    4. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2018. "The impact of energy prices on clean energy stock prices. A multivariate quantile dependence approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 136-152.
    5. Managi, Shunsuke & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2013. "Does the price of oil interact with clean energy prices in the stock market?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-9.
    6. Hanène Mejdoub & Ahmed Ghorbel, 2018. "The dynamic relationship between oil prices and returns on renewable energy companies," American Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 173-192.
    7. Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2017. "Dynamics of crude oil and gold price post 2008 global financial crisis – New evidence from threshold vector error-correction model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 358-365.
    8. Joscha Beckmann & Robert Czudaj, 2013. "The forward pricing function of industrial metal futures -- evidence from cointegration and smooth transition regression analysis," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 472-490, July.
    9. Sakov, Anat & Bickel, Peter J., 2000. "An Edgeworth expansion for the m out of n bootstrapped median," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 217-223, September.
    10. Henriques, Irene & Sadorsky, Perry, 2008. "Oil prices and the stock prices of alternative energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 998-1010, May.
    11. Boulamanti, Aikaterini & Moya, Jose Antonio, 2016. "Production costs of the non-ferrous metals in the EU and other countries: Copper and zinc," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 112-118.
    12. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Tripathy, Trilochan, 2014. "Modelling volatility persistence and asymmetry: A Study on selected Indian non-ferrous metals markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 31-39.
    13. Ahmad, Wasim, 2017. "On the dynamic dependence and investment performance of crude oil and clean energy stocks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 376-389.
    14. Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock prices of clean energy and technology companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 248-255.
    15. Broadstock, David C. & Cao, Hong & Zhang, Dayong, 2012. "Oil shocks and their impact on energy related stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1888-1895.
    16. Wen, Xiaoqian & Guo, Yanfeng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2014. "How do the stock prices of new energy and fossil fuel companies correlate? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 63-75.
    17. Kumar, Surender & Managi, Shunsuke & Matsuda, Akimi, 2012. "Stock prices of clean energy firms, oil and carbon markets: A vector autoregressive analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 215-226.
    18. Bondia, Ripsy & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2016. "International crude oil prices and the stock prices of clean energy and technology companies: Evidence from non-linear cointegration tests with unknown structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 558-565.
    19. Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhong, Meirui, 2017. "Volatility forecasting using high frequency data: The role of after-hours information and leverage effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 58-70.
    20. Iqbal, Javed, 2017. "Does gold hedge stock market, inflation and exchange rate risks? An econometric investigation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-17.
    21. Ortas, Eduardo & Moneva, José M., 2013. "The Clean Techs equity indexes at stake: Risk and return dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 259-269.
    22. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Nonlinear relationships amongst the implied volatilities of crude oil and precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 473-478.
    23. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    24. Brian M. Lucey & Sile Li, 2015. "What precious metals act as safe havens, and when? Some US evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 35-45, January.
    25. Todorova, Neda & Worthington, Andrew & Souček, Michael, 2014. "Realized volatility spillovers in the non-ferrous metal futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 21-31.
    26. Reboredo, Juan C. & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2017. "Wavelet-based test of co-movement and causality between oil and renewable energy stock prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-252.
    27. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2017. "Time-varying volatility spillovers between stock and precious metal markets with portfolio implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 88-102.
    28. Reboredo, Juan C., 2015. "Is there dependence and systemic risk between oil and renewable energy stock prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 32-45.
    29. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "Implied volatility linkages between the U.S. and emerging equity markets: A note," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 138-146.
    30. Kumar, Satish, 2017. "On the nonlinear relation between crude oil and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 219-224.
    31. Zhong, Meirui & He, Ruifang & Chen, Jinyu & Huang, Jianbai, 2019. "Time-varying effects of international nonferrous metal price shocks on China’s industrial economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 528(C).
    32. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    33. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Abdoh, Hussein, 2019. "The co-movement between oil and clean energy stocks: A wavelet-based analysis of horizon associations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 895-913.
    34. Yahya, Muhammad & Oglend, Atle & Dahl, Roy Endré, 2019. "Temporal and spectral dependence between crude oil and agricultural commodities: A wavelet-based copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 277-296.
    35. Grandell, Leena & Lehtilä, Antti & Kivinen, Mari & Koljonen, Tiina & Kihlman, Susanna & Lauri, Laura S., 2016. "Role of critical metals in the future markets of clean energy technologies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 53-62.
    36. Nguyen, Cuong & Bhatti, M. Ishaq & Komorníková, Magda & Komorník, Jozef, 2016. "Gold price and stock markets nexus under mixed-copulas," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 283-292.
    37. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Honarvar, Iman & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Does oil and gold price uncertainty matter for the stock market?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-285.
    38. Qingfu Liu & Michael T. Chng & Dongxia Xu, 2014. "Hedging Industrial Metals With Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(8), pages 704-730, August.
    39. Agyei-Ampomah, Sam & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Mazouz, Khelifa, 2014. "Does gold offer a better protection against losses in sovereign debt bonds than other metals?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 507-521.
    40. Ahmad, Wasim & Sadorsky, Perry & Sharma, Amit, 2018. "Optimal hedge ratios for clean energy equities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 278-295.
    41. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Ahmed, Ali, 2019. "Cross-quantilogram-based correlation and dependence between renewable energy stock and other asset classes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 743-759.
    42. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "Impacts of oil volatility shocks on metal markets: A research note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 9-19.
    43. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a better safe-haven investment than gold and commodities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 322-330.
    44. Sun, Chuanwang & Ding, Dan & Fang, Xingming & Zhang, Huiming & Li, Jianglong, 2019. "How do fossil energy prices affect the stock prices of new energy companies? Evidence from Divisia energy price index in China's market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 637-645.
    45. Victor Troster, 2018. "Testing for Granger-causality in quantiles," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 850-866, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yahya, Muhammad & Kanjilal, Kakali & Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ghosh, Sajal, 2021. "Can clean energy stock price rule oil price? New evidences from a regime-switching model at first and second moments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Tan, Xueping & Geng, Yong & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2021. "Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2020. "Volatility Connectedness between Clean Energy Firms and Crude Oil in the COVID-19 Era," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-22, November.
    4. Fahmy, Hany, 2022. "The rise in investors’ awareness of climate risks after the Paris Agreement and the clean energy-oil-technology prices nexus," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    5. Umar, Muhammad & Farid, Saqib & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness among clean-energy stocks and fossil fuel markets: Comparison between financial, oil and pandemic crisis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    6. Fernanda Fuentes & Rodrigo Herrera, 2020. "Dynamics of Connectedness in Clean Energy Stocks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
    7. Jiang, Yonghong & Wang, Jieru & Lie, Jiayi & Mo, Bin, 2021. "Dynamic dependence nexus and causality of the renewable energy stock markets on the fossil energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    8. Gu, Fu & Wang, Jiqiang & Guo, Jianfeng & Fan, Ying, 2020. "How the supply and demand of steam coal affect the investment in clean energy industry? Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Tareq Saeed & Elie Bouri & Dang Khoa Tran, 2020. "Hedging Strategies of Green Assets against Dirty Energy Assets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    10. Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Canarella, Giorgio & Miller, Stephen M., 2021. "Dynamic asymmetric optimal portfolio allocation between energy stocks and energy commodities: Evidence from clean energy and oil and gas companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    11. Capucine Nobletz, 2021. "Return spillovers between green energy indexes and financial markets: a first sectoral approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    12. Jiang, Yonghong & Wang, Jieru & Ao, Zhiming & Wang, Yujou, 2022. "The relationship between green bonds and conventional financial markets: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile and quantile coherence approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    13. Urom, Christian & Mzoughi, Hela & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Guesmi, Khaled, 2022. "Directional predictability and time-frequency spillovers among clean energy sectors and oil price uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 326-341.
    14. Çevik, Emre & Çevik, Emrah İsmail & Dibooglu, Sel & Cergibozan, Raif & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Destek, Mehmet Akif, 2022. "Connectedness and risk spillovers between crude oil and clean energy stock markets," MPRA Paper 117558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Çelik, İsmail & Sak, Ahmet Furkan & Höl, Arife Özdemir & Vergili, Gizem, 2022. "The dynamic connectedness and hedging opportunities of implied and realized volatility: Evidence from clean energy ETFs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    16. Si Mohammed, K. & Mellit, A., 2023. "The relationship between oil prices and the indices of renewable energy and technology companies based on QQR and GCQ techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 97-105.
    17. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Rothovius, Timo & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2023. "Climate risk and green investments: New evidence," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    18. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Nasreen, Samia & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2020. "Time-varying co-movements between energy market and global financial markets: Implication for portfolio diversification and hedging strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    19. Elie, Bouri & Naji, Jalkh & Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2019. "Gold and crude oil as safe-haven assets for clean energy stock indices: Blended copulas approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 544-553.
    20. Dutta, Anupam & Dutta, Probal, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and renewable energy asset prices: Implications for sustainable development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 518-525.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Clean energy prices; Non-ferrous metals; Cross-quantilogram; Cross-quantile causality; Copula;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q21 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:202:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220308847. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.