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Passenger transport in Nigeria: Environmental and economic analysis with policy recommendations

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  • Gujba, H.
  • Mulugetta, Y.
  • Azapagic, A.

Abstract

This paper presents the life cycle environmental impacts and economic costs of the passenger transport sector in Nigeria for 2003–2030. Four scenarios are considered: business as usual (BAU); increased use of public transport (buses) at the expense of cars (LOWCAR) and motorcycles (LOWMC), respectively; and high economic growth with increased car ownership and decline of public transport (HICAR). The findings show that for the BAU scenario the life cycle environmental impacts double over the period, despite the assumption of increased fuel and vehicle efficiency of 35% over time. The total fuel costs at the sectoral level increase three times, from US$3.4billion/yr in 2003 to US$9.7 billion in 2030. Increasing the use of buses would reduce the environmental impacts on average by 15–20% compared to BAU; at the same time, the total fuel costs would be 25–30% lower. If the use of cars grows much faster due to a high economic growth as in HICAR, the environmental impacts and fuel costs would increase by 16% and 26%, respectively. These results demonstrate clearly that future transport policy in Nigeria should promote and incentivise public (bus) transport as a much more environmentally and economically sustainable option than transport by cars and motorcycles.

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  • Gujba, H. & Mulugetta, Y. & Azapagic, A., 2013. "Passenger transport in Nigeria: Environmental and economic analysis with policy recommendations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 353-361.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:55:y:2013:i:c:p:353-361
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.12.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Giwa, Solomon O. & Nwaokocha, Collins N. & Odufuwa, Bashir O., 2017. "Mitigating gas flare and emission footprints via the implementation of natural gas vehicles in Nigeria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 193-203.
    3. Orji, Ifeyinwa Juliet & Kusi-Sarpong, Simonov & Gupta, Himanshu & Okwu, Modestus, 2019. "Evaluating challenges to implementing eco-innovation for freight logistics sustainability in Nigeria," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 288-305.
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    5. Paul Baustert & Tomás Navarrete Gutiérrez & Thomas Gibon & Laurent Chion & Tai-Yu Ma & Gabriel Leite Mariante & Sylvain Klein & Philippe Gerber & Enrico Benetto, 2019. "Coupling Activity-Based Modeling and Life Cycle Assessment—A Proof-of-Concept Study on Cross-Border Commuting in Luxembourg," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-24, July.
    6. Hao, Han & Geng, Yong & Wang, Hewu & Ouyang, Minggao, 2014. "Regional disparity of urban passenger transport associated GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions in China: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 783-793.
    7. Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Irfan Ali & Aquil Ahmed, 2021. "Multi-objective optimization modelling for analysing sustainable development goals of Nigeria: Agenda 2030," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 9529-9563, June.
    8. Han Hao & Michael Wang & Yan Zhou & Hewu Wang & Minggao Ouyang, 2015. "Levelized costs of conventional and battery electric vehicles in china: Beijing experiences," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(7), pages 1229-1246, October.

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