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Semiparametric generalized long-memory modeling of some mena stock market returns: A wavelet approach

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  • Boubaker, Heni
  • Sghaier, Nadia

Abstract

This paper proposes a new class of semiparametric generalized long-memory models with FIAPARCH errors that extends the conventional GARMA model to incorporate nonlinear deterministic trend and allows for time-varying volatility. To estimate the parameters, we implement a wavelet theory. We provide an empirical application to some MENA stock markets and find that the proposed model offers an interesting framework to describe seasonal long-range dependence and nonlinear trend in return as well as persistence to shocks in conditional volatility. The predictive results also indicate that this model outperforms the traditional FARMA-FIAPARCH process.

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  • Boubaker, Heni & Sghaier, Nadia, 2015. "Semiparametric generalized long-memory modeling of some mena stock market returns: A wavelet approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 254-265.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:50:y:2015:i:c:p:254-265
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.06.027
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    5. Stelios Bekiros & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Gazi Salah Uddin & Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar, 2020. "On the predictability of crude oil market: A hybrid multiscale wavelet approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 599-614, July.
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    7. Souhir Ben Amor & Heni Boubaker & Lotfi Belkacem, 2022. "A Dual Generalized Long Memory Modelling for Forecasting Electricity Spot Price: Neural Network and Wavelet Estimate," Papers 2204.08289, arXiv.org.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    SEMIGARMA process; FIAPARCH errors; Wavelet domain; Stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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