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Optimal regulation of energy network expansion when costs are stochastic

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  • Zwart, Gijsbert

Abstract

We analyze optimal regulation of the gradual investments in energy networks necessary to accommodate the energy transition. We focus on a real option problem where costs of new network technology are stochastic and not observable to the regulator. We solve for the regulatory scheme that optimally balances timely investments with rent extraction in this dynamic agency context. We then apply this methodology to a situation in which investment can be either in traditional network technology, with observable costs, or using an innovative network technology for which there is asymmetric information on costs. The optimal choice trades off the potential benefits of cheaper expansion with the costs of overcoming information frictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zwart, Gijsbert, 2021. "Optimal regulation of energy network expansion when costs are stochastic," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:126:y:2021:i:c:s0165188920301135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2020.103945
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    Cited by:

    1. Arve, Malin & Zwart, Gijsbert, 2023. "Optimal procurement and investment in new technologies under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    2. Panova, Elena & Garrett, Daniel F., 2023. "Regulating investments when both costs and need are private," TSE Working Papers 23-1429, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Bigerna, Simona & Hagspiel, Verena & Kort, Peter M. & Wen, Xingang, 2023. "How damaging are environmental policy targets in terms of welfare?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(1), pages 354-372.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adverse Selection; Dynamic contracting; Real option; Investment timing; Principal-Agent model; Regulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation

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